Nicholas Schiefer on Twitter: "@voretaq7 Almost certainly is, like, a 1 in 1,000 hazard ratio, right? If that's the case, there will definitely be hundreds to thousands of Delta deaths in vaccinated people in the US alone, if my math is right. And separately, there's a lot of harm that I care about other than death." / Twitter

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Aug 11, 2021

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I think this is the crux: I think that the FDA's balance is bad. On a personal level, it makes me worse off. At a societal level it violates my moral convictions. Given those values, I'm upset because the FDA is, in my view, causing a lot of harm by applying its standard.

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Oh, so we disagree less than I thought! My preferred regulatory regime would indeed create finer grained distinctions and rely more on individuals and their doctors to make treatment decisions.

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I think that's consistent with the overall regulatory posture. Tens of thousands of vaccinated people will probably die from Delta, but the FDA thinks that those deaths are worth the conservatism on EUAs, I think?

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Nicholas Schiefer

@nschiefer

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@voretaq7

Almost certainly is, like, a 1 in 1,000 hazard ratio, right? If that's the case, there will definitely be hundreds to thousands of Delta deaths in vaccinated people in the US alone, if my math is right. And separately, there's a lot of harm that I care about other than death.

10:44 PM · Aug 11, 2021Twitter Web App

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