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Do you find any existential risk concerns compelling? I'm tend to be pretty nervous about "prevent very bad but very unlikely things from happening" arguments, but I also feel various 20th century close calls with nuclear weapons were... way too close for comfort.
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fwiw I do also think "partial extinction risks" should be a huge-ass priority; *even if* one adopted strictly longtermist utilitarian grounds (which isn't my real ethics, I endorse a more commonsense thing, but.) bc it would drastically weaken systemic stability and resilience
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nah, I think if you had asked me to compare partial with total extinction, I'd say it's about the same ratio of bad as losing a limb is vs dying. I do not personally feel that losing a limb is "basically as bad as" dying.
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And also, even if a hypothetical person ONLY cares about not dying, and cares zero for some reason about losing a limb — which isn't me, but is a plausible value system — they should still really really try not to lose a limb, because it increases their chance of dying a lot
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