The basic Bayesian strategy for thinking about the world (assign credences to every possibility, update when new information comes in) even works for purely logical statements, not just empirical ones. "The first fully rational beings will be AIs."http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2017/11/logical-thoughtefficient-markets.html …
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(for anyone seeing this response via the sean carroll link, see here for why i am unimpressed with this result http://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/160975105374/on-miris-logical-induction-paper … )
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Never expected to see that on Tumblr.
End of conversation
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do you still have that link to the OpenPhil reviews?
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http://files.openphilanthropy.org/files/Grants/MIRI/consolidated_public_reviews.pdf … (papers 3 and 4 there are predecessors to the LI paper)
End of conversation
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the correct response at this point is I think "wew". (But thanks for spending all that time earlier convincing me!)
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