Why Bayesianism is unworkable: it assumes a fixed hypothesis space. Explanation by @nostalgebraist h/t @garybasin http://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/161645122124/bayes-a-kinda-sorta-masterpost …pic.twitter.com/3z4gDxj4Lv
i've written about that as well: http://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/160975105374/on-miris-logical-induction-paper …
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Thanks! I skimmed the paper when it was announced. My take was that the result was cute, probably true, >
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> definitely did not have the implications MIRI hoped, and probably a much simpler proof would be possible. Tempted to write up proof, but >
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> decided it wasn’t worth the time because of lack of significant implications. Your analysis suggests that it’s less cute than I thought >
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but also increases my confidence that it’s trivial in the sense that a really short proof is possible. Still probably not worth the time!
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I do suspect the complexity of the proof has helped fool the authors and readers into thinking something more interesting is within than is
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wow, what a wonderful illustration of the importance of uniform convergence.
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