Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?
    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
nostalgebraist's profile
nostalgebraist
nostalgebraist
nostalgebraist
@nostalgebraist

Tweets

nostalgebraist

@nostalgebraist

Joined December 2011

Tweets

  • © 2018 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list

    Under 100 characters, optional
    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      stern's main interest is in defending an "approx zero" time discount rate against others

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      see refs herehttp://bruegel.org/2012/04/blogs-review-the-discounting-debate-in-climate-change-mitigation/ …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      others defend higher rate not bc of higher extinction prob but bc of other ethics (eg rawlsianism)

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      stern got 0.1 by: "i'm basing this on extinction which is unlikely; here's a number that sounds low"

      5 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Phil Torres‏ @xriskology 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist

      [3] by other experts. Does that make sense? Thoughts?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @xriskology

      re 2, i meant the number "sounded low" relative to other discount rates which were based on things other than xrisk prob

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      if it was intended as a serious estimate of xrisk prob, it's remarkable that the review has no text justifying it as such

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      and afaik stern hasn't written about xrisk at all, so if he made an estimate, would it be really an "expert estimate"?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 18 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      i don't think this damages your case; other nums were higher and from more relevant sources. just, why include stern?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 19 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      another pt here is that stern implicitly assumes that /severity of climate change has no impact on prob of extinction by 2200/

      5 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 19 Aug 2016
      Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

      bc he uses the same 0.1 # across all compared scenarios. he also doesn't discuss human extinction even in most extreme scenarios

      9:37 AM - 19 Aug 2016
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. nostalgebraist‏ @nostalgebraist 19 Aug 2016
          Replying to @nostalgebraist @xriskology

          so by construction the # has nothing to do w/ climate change. hard to compare to # s that eg treat it as "threat multiplier"?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
          Undo

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2018 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info