@nostalgebraist You're defining climate change in a way that makes it compatible w/ weather/temp/sealevel all staying exactly thesame. odd.
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Replying to @mormo_music
@mormo_music Natural trends are slow. If there's a wind pushing my car backwards at 0.01 mph, and I start the car and drive at 30 mph . . .1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @nostalgebraist
@mormo_music ... am I "slowing the natural trend"? No, I'm adding a much stronger trend in the opposite direction.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @nostalgebraist
@nostalgebraist Like I said:If natural trend=cooling, then humanaction that increases temp by lesser amount = slowing climate change. Agree?1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @mormo_music
@mormo_music Yes. But we knew that the "lesser amount" premise is false. The climate is changing faster (magnitude) than it would w/o us.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @nostalgebraist
@nostalgebraist "The climate is changing faster (magnitude) than it would w/o us." How do 'we' know this?3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @mormo_music
@mormo_music http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-phdeUnEAZE4/TuK2dxoD_EI/AAAAAAAAAGA/yym7i32b3yA/s1600/cmp3unforcedtrends.png … Blue is predictions w/ no CO2 forcing. Red is observations.3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @nostalgebraist
@nostalgebraist Until Huber&Knuttis models do a 10x better job of predicting future changes than t ones t IPCC relied on, 'know' = bullshit.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @mormo_music
@mormo_music H&K are just running models with no forcing to look at internal variability. Not predicting forcing response.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @nostalgebraist
@nostalgebraist Ok I don't know enough about it. I do know that other peerreviewed studies disagree with t climatesensitivity assumed by H&K1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
@mormo_music H&K didn't make such assumptions. Their model learned distributions of parameters like sensitivity from the data.
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Replying to @nostalgebraist
@nostalgebraist Then other peer reviewed work disagrees with the climate sensitivity _calculated_ by H&K.0 replies 0 retweets 0 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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