A reasoning mistake by Johnny Evidencehttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1248980856531812354 …
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A reasoning mistake by Johnny Evidencehttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1248980856531812354 …
Thread on errors in growth of pandemicshttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1254132648185921537?s=20 …
Yeah there’s plenty of scientific evidence on cliff jumping and has been for millions of years...
Too funny NNT
He's a real Gary Count
@nntaleb what do you think of the Markov model is I'm finance?
Actually you do, doctors wait for analysis and careful testing data before you come to diagnosis and give medicine, because unlike politics, your main concern IS NOT to avoid blame, but avoid misdiagnosis, you won't be told you had the best of intentions and acted quickly, so A+
All emergencies are emergencies and anything could be anything, not an excuse to do whatever just to show that you care or are nimble or whatever...
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