Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
nntaleb's profile
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Verified account
@nntaleb

Tweets

Nassim Nicholas TalebVerified account

@nntaleb

Flaneur: focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic),probability (reallife), deadlifts, Phoenician wine, dead languages.

realworldrisk.com
Joined September 2011

Tweets

  • © 2019 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    Nassim Nicholas Taleb‏Verified account @nntaleb 9 Sep 2018

    Principles of Politics under Complexity (Thread)pic.twitter.com/VszqPkjFdQ

    4:37 PM - 9 Sep 2018
    • 895 Retweets
    • 2,721 Likes
    • YamsInACan [Yamin A] Caleb 🇺🇸 Kelechi Javier Villegas Stephen Adkins Christos Delivorias Grace Zeng AJ Siersma Sab Maya Hai
    74 replies 895 retweets 2,721 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Nassim Nicholas Taleb‏Verified account @nntaleb 11 Sep 2018

        Principle 11: No public institution or agency should be created without an expiration date.pic.twitter.com/xlVD1RrYvD

        35 replies 240 retweets 749 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Nassim Nicholas Taleb‏Verified account @nntaleb 18 Sep 2018

        Note: When Arabo-Sunni-Islamists want to smear the LOCALISTS & minorities who want bottom-up self-determination, s.a. Christians, Shiites & oth minorities they use tags such as "right wing", "sectarian", "fascist", etc. (Look at behavior of low-IQ fraud-propagandist @shadihamid)

        12 replies 70 retweets 300 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Nassim Nicholas Taleb‏Verified account @nntaleb 18 Sep 2018

        The division in politics can be summarized as between + Embedded, complexity-minded, multiscale/fractal localists (politics as an ecology/complex adaptive system) + Abstract one-dimensional universalists & monoculturalists (politics as a top-down engineering project)

        35 replies 413 retweets 1,094 likes
        Show this thread
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. NIDHAL SELMI - نضال السالمي‏ @imleslahdin 9 Sep 2018
        Replying to @nntaleb

        Can 3 and 5 be merged as "assymetric survival mechanisms produce fractal clustering." or I'm I missing something?

        2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      3. Nassim Nicholas Taleb‏Verified account @nntaleb 9 Sep 2018
        Replying to @imleslahdin

        Yes but markets better this way. Those who get one point in a snap will transfer to the other.

        1 reply 0 retweets 14 likes
      4. 2 more replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Opinion. That's Enough.‏ @geonal 9 Sep 2018
        Replying to @nntaleb

        Number 10 is illogical. Gains and losses from politics are examples of real SITG. For every Obama and Gore, there is a reviled GWB 43 or John Major. Do you mean that 'losses' from political infamy also belong to the taxpayer?

        4 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Knarf Motat‏ @knarf_motat 10 Sep 2018
        Replying to @geonal @nntaleb

        Gore, Obama, et al., are merely examples, the point is that they should forfeit that gain or be barred from earning it, otherwise the post-"public service" gain is an incentive to "serve" that deviates from proper public goals.

        2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. Opinion. That's Enough.‏ @geonal 10 Sep 2018
        Replying to @knarf_motat @nntaleb

        So, how does a democratic society go about barring them ... given that, apparently everyone who has served enjoys this earnings boom? Ideas should be S.M.A.R.T. and internally consistent. How do we "stop" them, without discouraging service.

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Opinion. That's Enough.‏ @geonal 10 Sep 2018
        Replying to @geonal @knarf_motat @nntaleb

        And not only that: the post-public-service benefits are an incentive that strengthens American and British democracy. Everyone does their best and looks forward to retirement. Compare to the Third World, without such incentives. Presidents hang on to power forever.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      6. CommanderBuzzKill‏ @buzz_commander 12 Sep 2018
        Replying to @geonal @knarf_motat @nntaleb

        Everyone motivated by greed, power, fame, peer pressure, sense of community and idealism may do their best to get into government. But considering infamy and mere access to high connections are profitable, only those motivated by the latter three will continue to "do their best."

        0 replies 2 retweets 0 likes
      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Eddie Obeng‏ @EddieObeng 9 Sep 2018
        Replying to @nntaleb

        As complexity grows at a rate faster than our ability to understand and even recognise it, opportunities for cognitive dissonance render all your arguments inaccessible by the people who would benefit from reading them. Is there a political 'responsibility' to involve them?

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. John Varga‏ @johnvarga347 11 Sep 2018
        Replying to @EddieObeng @nntaleb

        If the people being governed want to maintain a modern democracy, yes. If there is the desire to be a DINO (democracy in name only), then no.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Eddie Obeng‏ @EddieObeng 12 Sep 2018
        Replying to @johnvarga347 @nntaleb

        Hmmm Thing is with the increasing understanding and use of the power of 'persuasion' methods and algorithms It's hard for people to KNOW what THEY want

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. John Varga‏ @johnvarga347 12 Sep 2018
        Replying to @EddieObeng @nntaleb

        I think that people find it easy to know what they want. What is difficult is identifying if what candidates are offering will meet their needs. These persuasion methods and algorithms make that very difficult, due to their complexity.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2.  🇫🇷 Yannick  🇹🇭‏ @NeverYannick 9 Sep 2018
        Replying to @nntaleb

        Come on, you could at least try to appear a little less biased and cite guys like Bush or Cheney in your principle 10.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Pat O'Sullivan ❌‏ @blythesylph 9 Sep 2018
        Replying to @NeverYannick @nntaleb

        How did Bush and Cheney profit from politics? They divested themselves of their oil interests before taking office.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4.  🇫🇷 Yannick  🇹🇭‏ @NeverYannick 9 Sep 2018
        Replying to @blythesylph @nntaleb

        Lolmao have you ever heard of Halliburton? Dick Cheney become its CEO with zero business experience just after leaving the DOD in 95. 15 years and 700,000 deaths later he was worth 9 figures.

        2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      5.  🇫🇷 Yannick  🇹🇭‏ @NeverYannick 9 Sep 2018
        Replying to @NeverYannick @blythesylph @nntaleb

        As for the Bush clan, they have profited from wars for decades. Check Carlyle Group, Winston Partners, ESS... It's orders of magnitude morally worse and financially profitable that Obama's shady book deals or speaking fees.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      6. End of conversation

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2019 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info