Tweets
- Tweets, current page.
- Tweets & replies
- Media
You blocked @nntaleb
Are you sure you want to view these Tweets? Viewing Tweets won't unblock @nntaleb
-
Solution for the Christmas binge: Fast 45 hours, visit the gym during the fast, and you are done.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
So we can call it the Tolstoy-Friedman rule. Milton Friedman (who was a remarkable statistician) used to tell students: "If you don't see it in Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), it's not there."
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
In other words, as Tolstoy told us: "You can be linear in only one way, nonlinear in zillions of ways."
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
A detail every appliedprobastatisticists needs to spot. Whenever it's not a straight line, R^2 cannot be what is claimed because we lose degrees of freedom from fittin *which* nonlinearity. Insight from Milton Friedman.
@DrCirillo and I will diskuss in our new book.https://twitter.com/afrakt/status/950323771847659520 …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
3) The point is not that he thought that Debt =>Wealth, but that what he had constituted a definitive "scientific proof" and that, to him, the problem was settled.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Nice to see legal theorists catching up to the minority ruuuuuuule. http://scholarlycommons.law.wlu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1074&context=wlulr-online …pic.twitter.com/a1KduxGkSZ
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
His "proof" was: Debt was up => GDP/inventions went up. He could not get that, also "Smoking went up => GDP went up" or "pollution => GDP went up". So I called him an idiot.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
I once called Michael Wolf (Trump's biographer) a IDIOT to his face at a London dinner Q&A event 6 years ago. (He claimed having an "indisputable scientific proof" that debt "caused" prosperity, the industrial/technological revolutions...)
@rorysutherland@SilvaShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Antifragile: stress, and only stress improve bone density. 6 years later.https://twitter.com/jama_current/status/947112544161943552 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Yuuuuge point by Roger Makhlouf: We don't quite and never had “ص”, “ض”, “ط” in Lebanese. It is just the "Basta aleph"pic.twitter.com/Bi3huAWabG
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
One see an explanation to the statement by Jelinek: "when you fire a linguist, speech recognition improves".pic.twitter.com/aFsLEGyCWG
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Retweeted
This is what I love about Twitter.
@nntaleb shared a video on classifying languages with dimensional reduction (PCA) instead of pre-cut categories. The task of escaping categories is pervasive. Eg is IKEA a furniture store; is Basecamp project mangement?https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/950046273238904839 …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
-
A very useful heuristic, a potent filter: When someone criticizes you, train to immediately ask yourself: "Would I rather be him/her, or I'd rather be me?" before taking the remark at face value. It works wonders.
#SkinintheGameThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
4) The heuristic is as follows: You know someone will side with Trump, not his detractor, REGARDLESS OF THE ARGUMENT, if the person would rather be Trump when he/she grows up than the detractor. Gabish?https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/949716728837222400 …
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Except when n=1 matters (large deviation in a Fat Tailed domain).https://twitter.com/naval/status/949841514250817536 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
2) I mean that when it's cold, you try to do things to just stay warm (higher entropy), when it's hot you try to be as inactive as possible (min entropy). And when you are Mediterranean you cheat with spezzatura.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
CONJECTURE du jour: When I first encountered ENTROPY, years ago, it hit me that: + In cold countries, civilizations are built to maximize entropy, + In hot ones, civilizations are built to minimize entropy, + the Med, uniquely, does both or neither. (this morning, in Celsius)pic.twitter.com/67YzZXjDVM
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
-
The discussion that helped finish my book. We need a second
@econtalk on religion, rationality & risk bearing. Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Work, Slavery, the Minority Rule, and Skin in the Game | EconTalk | Library of Economics and Libertyhttp://bit.ly/2CB2XPxThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.