Nassim Nicholas TalebOvjeren akaunt

@nntaleb

Flaneur: focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic),probability (reallife), deadlifts, Phoenician wine, dead languages.

Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2011.

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    Meanwhile, I’m learning that Sweden (where I reside & pay taxes) is imposing zero quarantine on people coming from China at the moment. please don’t blindly follow the . Enforce quarantines and/or stop influx from China now. Please see

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  2. Pages 8-11 Friends, looking for typos/errors. Thanks again

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    prije 3 sata

    Yes, publishes books! Check out ’s latest book “Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails”

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  5. Reposting (corrected) pages 1-3 (single page, easier to read)

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  6. Friends, the draft of the transcription of a lecture I gave at the Leopoldina academy on how RISK & PARANOIA are misunderstood by psychologists & BS vendors. Part 1, for comments

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  7. The ting about these puzzles is that you always think it is a 15 min morning exercise, but they have a totally stochastic stopping time. This, unexpectedly, took houuuuuuuuuuuuuurs!

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  8. This s***t cost me half my Sunday! Tough, tough!

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  10. The Black Swan (2007) discusses the risks of a virus spreading owing to the increased connectivity in the modern environment. Connectivity increases fattailedness. We were never as connected as we were 10 days ago.

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    2. velj

    I remember when debated the risks of an outbreak at , nassim mentioned that hospitable might not even be open because staff wouldn’t show up. Wise

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  12. Sunday morning workout.

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  13. The type of fake empiricism we and are trying to correct. Note it is almost ALWAYS a journo or a psychologist () making such irresponsible claim. Lightning strikes are not multiplicative, hence thin-tailed.

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    Similar to drinking a drop of tap water every time you visit India

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    "It is much harder to become independent if you are wealthy than to become wealthy if you are independent." - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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  17. Right to left... Or, better, random order

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  18. A trivial computation: If IQ mapped to intelligence rather than unintelligence (i.e. <70), where are the 800,000 geniuses? Trivial.

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  19. Dear Atlantans, this friend of mine is in Atlanta and looking for a Calabese barber or possibly any Mediterranean barber shop a la old country style (where barbers have a heavy accent). Can anyone help?

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    1. velj

    Il y a quelques jours, pendant que des éditorialistes nous disaient qu'il n'y avait pas à s'inquiéter du coronavirus, des chercheurs spécialisés en risk management et en système complexe, , Yaneer Bar-Yam et , publiaient ce papier :

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