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Jan 1

Friends, happy new year! I am grateful to those from whom I learned a lot, in philology, history, cardiology, theology, and bicycle maintenance. Below is the Greek-Orthodox Fasting Calendar for 2023, (Antiochian/Levantine Romoi adaptation), courtesy D. Neuwirth.

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12h

Twitter is like a large café, well, almost. You can sit at a table & listen to Albert Einstein, Max Planck & Paul Dirac trying to have a conversation while being constantly interrupted by two loud truck drivers in MAGA hats.

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Greco-Levantines World Wide

14h

The reason Maronites had a heresy was to avoid Hellenism. People find a theological wrinkle to justify a cultural separation. medium.com/incerto/religi

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@GrecoLevantines

Feb 3

Its important to know that Levantine greeks AKA Rûm are different than Syriac or Aramaic Christians who inhabit eastern Syria,and Mesopotamia.The Rûm are city dwellers who live in major cities in west Syria,Lebanon and the Holy Land.Their native language was Greek not Aramic.

Satyaki Roy

@Satyaki_R

17h

'Billionaires get rich from valuation, not cash flow.' - Nassim Nicholas Taleb (He wasn't referring to Adani, but a general phenomenon)

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nabil

@nabilshadman

21h

In this 45 minute relaxed discussion between @nntaleb and @sonalibasak, you'll learn more about finance/markets than doing an entire MBA in Finance for 2 years. Thanks to both for an insightful discussion! youtube.com/watch?v=sDBz_b

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Feb 3

The worrisome thing is not that GoodRx is selling your confidential prescription information. The problem is that Facebook and Google are buying them. Even more worrisome is that the fine is proportionally tiny, not even a slap on the wrist.

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TSALLIS ENTROPY (plus RÉNYI) For fat tailed distributions, of course: max q-entropy distributions for some values of q produces heavy tails.

Advice to Adani (& others): It everything is OK, don't produce a video saying "everything is OK".

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Content Philosopher

@Wizbit_io

"Finance has three simple rules: maintain a clear mind, figure out asymmetries, never talk to idiots."

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Correction: says Mark Spitznagel, not me. (not that I disagree)

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unusual_whales

@unusual_whales

The market is headed for a 'tinderbox-timebomb' that will be worse than the 1929 crash, says Nassim Taleb.

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2) How entropy maps to the Kelly criterion.

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3/ George Steiner: mountains are solitary, contemplative, harmonious, and Apollonian; Ocean cities are crowded, promiscuous, noisy, and Dionysian.

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2/Dionysian is not good.

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Miami in one word: Dionysian.

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If you use ChatGPT to cut corners in an educational environment, someone can also use ChatGPT to check whether you have been using ChatGPT. Technology can be self-cancelling.

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2) Outside bullshitting commentators don't realize that, aside from government salaries (outside security forces, even then), Lebanon has been DOLARIZED for years. You pay your dentist, doctor, barber, restaurant bill, gardener, etc in USD or USD equivalent.

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It has been attested that

@Snowden

is not intelligent. But his financial knowledge is pitiful. 1-If a currency devalues AGAINST the $, it means that IT IS THE $ THAT IS STABLE (benchmark), an argument against bitcoin. 2-The idiot did not know that the currency devalued 3y ago.

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Edward Snowden

@Snowden

*whispers* bitcoin fixes this

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ENTROPY DU JOUR How Correlation does not reflect information. A correlation of 15/16 is closer to 0 than 1 Mutual information vs Correlation.

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3) For the usual commenting nitwit: these are NOT airsquats.

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2/It is not just this pazzachio. Crossfit has been associated with rhabdo, particularly when done in long sessions.

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WARNING Watch out. This self-styled "guru" has never heard of rhabdo (Google it). (Aside from ischemia).

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CoriYarckin

@CoriYarckin

Front row to finally meet

Nassim Taleb (my bro’s partner for over 15 years) and hear his #wordsofwisdom with

@business

@sonalibasak

. Looking forward to this page turner he signed for me! #proudsistermoment universa.net

0:03

14.2K views

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Bloomberg TV

@BloombergTV

“It doesn't rain money anymore,” says Universa Investments Senior Scientific Advisor Nassim Taleb when discussing cash flow and last year's Twitter purchase by Elon Musk. He speaks exclusively with Bloomberg's

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2/ How functionally strong athletes look like in the absence of steroids, optimization weight, & artificial bodybuilding (hypertrophy & muscles for show, not function). [Mohammad Ali]

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I am certain that Bill Gates would benefit from a few deadlifts a week & perhaps, an annual cycling tour. But I am ready to bet that the coglione on the right has a *shorter* life expectancy. PS- One of the mistakes I've made was promoting Mangan before realizing he was a quack.

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Our reply to "Superforecasting"

@PTetlock

is forthcoming. arxiv.org/pdf/2301.10985 w/ the Global Incerto (now Uncertainty) Reading Group

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I am flattered but I am getting credit for Mark's ideas. Not that I disagree.

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Sonali Basak

@sonalibasak

A lot of warm and fuzzy feelings in the market… no? bloomberg.com/news/articles/ Coincidentally, I’ll be interviewing @nntaleb tonight in Miami. Details of the interview to come by tomorrow via @BloombergTV, @business and @crypto

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Two idiots are collectively more stupid than a single idiot.

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David Boxenhorn

@davidboxenhorn

A good example of how passing tests is Ludic, and not the same as success in real life. Would you want ChatGPT to be your doctor or lawyer?

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ChatGPT has now passed: - Wharton’s MBA exam - US Medical Licensing Exam - The Bar - Camp registration forms

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Indeed this ignorant

@sapinker

might have contributed to an anti-preparation narrative.

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Espen Gaarder Haug

@EGHaug

Why did Belgium sell useful tanks for only 15k euro. Norway even worse, destroyed still useful tanks. One could suspect decision makers influenced by @sapinker way thinking = clueless on tail-risk and stats ( @nntaleb ) fooledbyrandomness.com/pinker.pdf Tanks: norway.postsen.com/local/90999/Be

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Jan 29

You can't confirm a Gaussian. But you can reject a Gaussian. Like the Black Swan asymmetry: you can't say "there are no black swans", but can affirm "there are some".

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In the last week, three people on reddit/r/statistics have asked about testing whether a sample came from a Gaussian distribution. The answer is that you should never test for normality. The result is a non-answer to the wrong question. allendowney.com/blog/2023/01/2

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disinformationchronicle.substack.com

Hey,

new piece about #Monsanto trolls latest tactic: claiming copyright on photos showing them promoting Monsanto. ".

@vixenvalentino

delves into PR agents who use the Digital Millennium Copyright Act to hide their trail of industry deceit."

Latest Online Trolling Tactic: Claiming Public Images Are Copyright Protected

Guest essayist Vixen Valentino delves into corporate PR agents who use the Digital Millennium Copyright Act to hide their trail of industry deceit.

Jan 28

If you make an incorrect public statement you must correct it. Reliability is a currency you devalue by producing conspiratorial BS: Tucker Carson, Elon Musk (alas), Trump, Cruz, etc. Bad faith taints you.

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Adam Kinzinger #fella

@AdamKinzinger

Jan 27

Thanks Seattle Times for this list of people who made fun of Paul Pelosi. Hold them accountable:

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ghjuvancarlu simeoni

@diankarlu

Jan 27

"The true hero in the Black Swan world is someone who prevents a calamity and, naturally, because the calamity did not take place, does not get recognition – or a bonus – for it."

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3/9 - Peu de noblesse à attendre des actions de prévention pour les médecins, infirmiers et chercheurs. Peu de prix Nobel à recevoir. On fait rarement fortune non plus avec la prévention.

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Jan 26

The only writing advice I've ever given: write the book that nobody else can write. If there is a single person on Planet Earth who can write anything close to it, find a hobby. Generalize to every line you write. Those who didn't follow such a guideline are punished by ChatGPT.

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Jan 26

We knew Chinless Andrew was exaggerating his wealth, that it was all show, at some unmistakable details: he filmed himself in a private plane that was rented and stayed on the ground.

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paul kenyon

@paulkenyonTV

Jan 23

A week investigating Andrew Tate in Bucharest and it seems he’s an imposter. His home; a Norman Bates inspired meat factory (see pic), his chain of casinos;fictitious, his web-cam empire; two girls in a Brookside-style semi. Still trying to follow the money!

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