Nassim Nicholas TalebVerified account

@nntaleb

Flaneur: focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic),probability (reallife), deadlifts, Phoenician wine, dead languages.

Joined September 2011

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  1. And ignore statements about “math geniuses with High IQ”. 1- how many high IQ can do math? 2- Ramanujan, Groethendieck, Mandelbrot were horrrrrrrible at standardized tests... has a mystical link to math...

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  2. Reread and you will find it.

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  3. A metric that ONLY detects "below average" will show 80% correlation with performance. (corrected typos)

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  4. PROBABILITY DU JOUR A clearer presentation showing how a metric for disease can falsely masquerade as a metric for performance because "correlation" is not appropriate (and should NEVER be used) under nonlinearity. Something the Quillettebeciles don't get.

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  5. Taxi driver to Malta’s airport: Where are you flying to? Me: Palermo. Driver: vacation? Me: No. Meeting. Silence the rest of the journey.

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  6. acts like it has a lot to hide. It had a 20-page plan on how to "minimize impact of" and "minimize media coverage and publicity of" 's book Whitewash, about Monsanto, and .

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  7. Meanwhile I’ve blocked trolls on both sides.

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  8. Charles Murray is considered a Galileo of the racisticists, someone who provides scientific truths. He is just an intellectual fraud. These mistakes are on a SINGLE page in his book.

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  9. Andrew Gelman is the #1 BS buster in social science.

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  10. “You are rich if and only if money you refuse tastes better than money you accept.” Nassim Taleb

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  11. Review on Amazon. If you are going to be a BS vendor, make sure to not combine it with "race realism" and eugenics.

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  12. Replying to

    You are wasting time arguing about universal computation/Touring machines with the Quilletebeciles neonazis who interpretet as a blank slate argument. The Quilettebeciles don't even get that you may bolster their argument since in practice there is a yuuge diff betw processors!

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  13. Aug 15
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  14. Aspirations of this account: - To extol the spiritual power of Orthodoxy & our ability to create Byz 2.0 Tendencies: - Venice bashing - HRE bashing - mocking idiots - foodpoasting

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  15. Ignore journos: they can't property scale moves, put them in perspective. The SP500 is still up >12% on the year. : Have to reveal I've been short HLF for more than a year. Fear of missing an opportunity, just in case Ackman turns out to be ultimately right.

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  16. "The problem of knowledge is that there are many more books on birds written by ornithologists than books on birds written by birds and books on ornithologists written by birds" -

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  17. Aug 14

    You misunderstand and underestimate Taleb if you think this is any kind of outlierish or burdensome "axe to grind", or even particularly personal. Taleb's bread and butter- or rather olive oil- is lopping down logs of bullshit, and the axe is sharp for all comers.

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  18. Very safe: I stopped in 2010 having dinners with social scientists.

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  19. 2) You can be fooled by people, and you can be fooled by fields. For instance I was fooled by behavioral economics...

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