NassimNicholasTaleb Verified account

@nntaleb

Flaneur, with focus on probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (logic), probability (real life) & Lebanese wine (& ancient languages).

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Joined September 2011
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  1. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    France took Algeria, hoping for a country to eat cassoulet and instead France is now eating couscous.

    65 retweets 56 likes
  2. Retweeted
    14 hours ago

    People are much less interested in what you are trying to show them than what you are trying to hide.

    66 retweets 86 likes
  3. Retweeted
    22 hours ago

    FOIA shows shameful state of EPA's "review" of Roundup, by

    View summary Hide summary
    56 retweets 30 likes
  4. 2 hours ago

    I've met a few of these.

    conducts social media trainings for "women, largely farmers and wives of farmers" on how to defend .
    9 retweets 18 likes
  5. 6 hours ago Kuala Lumpur Federal Territory, Malaysia

    Life expectancy doesn't tell you how LONG people live

    48 retweets 57 likes
  6. 10 hours ago Kuala Lumpur Federal Territory, Malaysia

    Science is avoiding being fooled by data. We use statistics to avoid being fooled by data. I am fedup with "evidence" people not getting it.

    94 retweets 146 likes
  7. Retweeted
    11 hours ago Bandar Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan Kuala Lumpur

    "I'm more worried about the reaction to 's , than China's fragility itself."

    12:38 AM - 4 Nov 2015 · Details
    24 retweets 22 likes
  8. Nov 3

    @jameskotstohryz but 2.2 birth rate with 12 chikldren born shd be higher, no?

    1 retweet 4 likes
  9. Retweeted
    Oct 27

    When you say something you think are just saying something, but you are largely communicating why you had to say it.

    74 retweets 94 likes
  10. Nov 3

    Best, most informative, measure of life expectancy is at 40. The rest confuses people.

    View conversation Hide conversation
    8 retweets 27 likes
  11. Nov 3

    3/3 My first essay Fooled by Randomness was originally about ergodicity.I removed tech discussions after writing it

    10 retweets 29 likes
  12. Nov 3

    . i should be sayjng doubling the survival rate my fault

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    1 retweet 6 likes
  13. Nov 3

    2/2 To summarize: *ergodicity* tells us that life expectancy increases aren't due to people living longer but because fewer die prematurely.

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    37 retweets 74 likes
  14. Nov 3

    That you can double life expectancy simpy by halving childhood mortality is the best illustration of the beautiful concept of *ergodicity*

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    36 retweets 60 likes
  15. Nov 3

    I wonder why people don't realize that you can double life expectancy simpy by halving childhood mortality

    View conversation Hide conversation
    34 retweets 38 likes
  16. Nov 3

    No kidding?

    "Most technological breakthroughs come from technologists tinkering, not from researchers chasing hypotheses." -- Matt Ridley
    39 retweets 66 likes
  17. Nov 3

    Our pitiful misunderstanding of statistics. Conflating life expectancy at birth and conditional L E.

    In 1800 no one lived past 40 years old. See country here, 1800, 1950, 2012
    68 retweets 108 likes
  18. Nov 2

    Complex Systems/Antifragility course with

    What does the Chinese stock market crash mean for your investments? Learn how to thrive in the face of uncertainty:
    55 retweets 32 likes
  19. Nov 2 Kuala Lumpur Federal Territory, Malaysia

    It is a sign that the only (nonmenial) job for an actor seems to be elected politician.

    54 retweets 73 likes
  20. Nov 2

    One almost never knows something ended or reached a conclusion except in hindsight, outside the movies, of course.

    92 retweets 131 likes

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