Seasoned guys on mex will warn you: Don't long resistance with a frothy derivs market, lest they squeeze you of your Bitcoin. Macro catalyst guys will tell you another tale - that Gold & Corona will send us through 10k.
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BTC is at an inflection point and so is global macro. This week will give us very valuable heuristics for the BTC & macro catalysts theory: 1) Can macro catalysts subsidise ordinarily low probability BTC longs? 2) How does BTC respond to aggressive Chinese easing?https://twitter.com/CryptoHayes/status/1224076680655826944 …
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It's going to be a very valuable week for Bitcoin traders who are trying to piece the puzzle together. Should you trust your BTC-unique signals? Or do you embrace the new black box of macro?
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My current view BTC will do what BTC will do. Macro just adds an additional layer of acceleration and optionality. 1) It can speed up the rallies if the market is healthy 2) Positive macro can't lower price floors. These are determined by BTC-unique fundamentals
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BTC is a secular asset whose market cycles are determined by unique BTC-centric factors Macro catalysts can accelerate these cycles in the short run but can they defy the underlying factors? We might get a tiny bit closer to answering that question this week!
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