After my chats with my Brexit voting family & friends at the weekend I discovered something both comforting & horrifying. They’re no longer remotely interested in brexit. Some of them don’t even know we’re leaving on the 31st. A soft Brexit is thus a distinct possibility.
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7/ The thing about Brexit that many don’t get is that to do a “proper Brexit” is a national project requiring decades of costs, effort & debate. I doubt more than 10% of leavers actually want this. They want brexit “done”. Preferably by August. They don’t want change or costs..
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8/ Johnson may be a liar. He may be lazy but he’s no fool. You don’t get to be Conservative PM by confusing 60year old home owning Tory voters with revolutionaries. He’ll want the path of least resistance Brexit & if that stuffs the DUP or ERG he’ll happy screw them.
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I totally agree with this.
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I like this thread Nick & sincerely hope much of it comes to pass. BUT Johnson, being incredibly lazy and personally, well-insulated from the ravages of ‘no deal’ doesn’t have to care too much what the end product of the transition year looks like.
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Very possible outcome. But what if Johnson is too lazy even to bestir himself to be THAT lazy, and nothing gets done and hard Brexit hits with a resounding "splat"?
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Yep after all this it may well be a form of BINO via capitulation after all... a harder, more damaging one (due to costs of potential divergence - even if never used) than if we’d had a soft Brexit in the beginning. All to satisfy a middle England that’s not even very interested?
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Seems like a plan. Although, he’ll lose the backing of the ERG, whose numbers have swollen thanks to the 2019 intake.
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Or hard work
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I admire your ever-present optimism.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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