Now available in hard copy or free online: Turkey’s New Foreign Policy
fpri.org/article/2023/0
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Nicholas Danforth
@NicholasDanfort
Turkey. Maps. Historical Randomness. Not necessarily sarcastic. Non–Resident Fellow, ELIAMEP; Editor, War on the Rocks
amazon.com/Remaking-Repub…Joined November 2012
Nicholas Danforth’s Tweets
Cold War maps suggest the post-1945 international order was neither liberal nor rules based but distinctly cephalopodic...
warontherocks.com/2023/05/mid-af
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The most thorough and thoughtful assessment of both the risks and grounds for optimism I’ve read so far
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This morning and I sat down with for a fascinating discussion about the future of Turkish foreign policy and the unique challenges of editing articles on Turkey
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This morning and I sat down with for a fascinating discussion about the future of Turkish foreign policy and the unique challenges of editing articles on Turkey
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There has been a debate recently on how much Turkey’s foreign policy would change in the event of an opposition win in the elections. here does a really good job explaining that it would change indeed but within limits.
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My new piece with on Turkey's elections for :
Turkey's Elections Won't Be Free or Fair. The Opposition Still Might Win.
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Strange to see people simultaneously criticizing conventional wisdom for assuming an opposition foreign policy would be completely different from Erdogan's and for assuming it would be the same. As best I can tell, in DC at least, most people think it would be a bit of both
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“3 saniye içinde, çocuklar yeni kelimeler öğrenecekler” adlı sanat eseri
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I wrote a short piece with about Turkish foreign policy and the upcoming elections. We’d like to thank and for their careful reading and suggestions.
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Six Books to Understand Turkey - FP contributors’ top titles to make sense of the country ahead of its most important election
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🇹🇷🇪🇺 🇺🇸
Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections are just around the corner (14th of May). They will be very consequential not only for the country itself, but also for its Western allies. Our recent work & policy recommendations could shed some light 👇 1/
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Revisiting the incredible optimism of Turkey’s original May 14 elections…
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And yes, for those who asked, that’s a map of Sweden over my shoulder. No relation to NATO
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Stay updated on the current events that matter with The WarCast. On the latest episode, sits down with Mark Watson to discuss Australia's defence strategic review.
Preview their conversation 👇
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And yes, for those who asked, that’s a map of Sweden over my shoulder. No relation to NATO
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Tonight, my colleagues and I will speak about Turkey’s upcoming elections at Please register to attend w/ &
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In that worst case scenario, though, it would certainly be helpful to have the opposition speak with a united voice about what their expectations from Western governments were.
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The question of how to engage with Erdogan if he stays in power illegitimately is one with no good answers. Hopefully it won't have to be asked.
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Some very sensible recommendations from and about how Western governments should approach Turkey's elections:
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From the many things I have been reading lately on the upcoming #TurkishElections, I would say that this analysis by & is the one that best summarises what's at stake for #Turkey on the 14th of May
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US-Turkish tensions have been driven by real structural and strategic differences, which will continue. But at every stage these have been exacerbated by the authoritarianism, corruption, ideology and irresponsibility of the Erdogan regime.
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Would any Turkish government have been angry about US support for the YPG? Yes. But would the opposition have brought that into being by turning a blind eye to ISIS for years? No.
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Put simply, a government that only antagonized Washington when it had a real strategic rationale for doing so would ultimately be far more effective in advancing Turkish interests.
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Would an opposition government have bought Russian S-400s? Probably not. But even if they had, they wouldn’t have further alienated Congress by jailing Pastor Brunson or attacking protestors in Sheridan circle.
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Would any Turkish government be upset over deepening US-Greek defense ties? Yes. Would the opposition have accelerated them with the Libya MoU or repeated threats to invade Greece? No.
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Would any Turkish government have chaffed at US sanctions on Iran? Yes. Would the opposition have facilitated a corrupt multi-billion dollar scheme to undermine them while enriching itself? No.
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Would any Turkish government have been angry about US support for the YPG? Yes. But would the opposition have brought that into being by turning a blind eye to ISIS for years? No.
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US-Turkish tensions have been driven by real structural and strategic differences, which will continue. But at every stage these have been exacerbated by the authoritarianism, corruption, ideology and irresponsibility of the Erdogan regime.
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Fascinating discussion of Turkish elections hosted by yesterday.
I tried to make the case that the opposition would continue to push for a more independent foreign policy, but in a way that was far better for both the US and Turkey
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My article in looks back at Turkey's presidential history and argues that the coming elections may have unprecedented results. Erdogan is the only president to have been directly elected; if he loses, he would be the first to be voted out.
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For Erdogan, being the first to achieve this much power has required vision and imagination. The question is whether he can also imagine being the first to relinquish it, writes @silvermanreuben.
buff.ly/41OvxrS
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Samuel Dolbee: "There are of course many differences between the deportation & genocide of Ottoman Armenians during World War I and the migrants moving through extreme environments today ... in all cases, the environment is enlisted as a tool of violence."
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At which point people pivot to: actually lets leave it to the lawyers.
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Could there be a Turkey without Erdogan?
will be joined by & to discuss Turkey's upcoming elections.
Monday, April 24 at 10:00 AM EDT
Register:
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100 Jahre nach der Gründung der türkischen Republik durch Mustafa Kemal Atatürk verspricht Erdogan den Abschluss seines Projekts zur Schaffung einer "Neuen Türkei". Sie knüpft nicht nur an das osmanische Erbe an, sie ist auch islamischer und autoritärer.
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Leave it to the historians was never a particularly convincing line, but it gets less so every year
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For decades, deniers have insisted the debate over the Armenian genocide should be left to historians. Historians, in turn, have kept digging up more and more damning evidence:
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An informative look back at Turkish electoral history from
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