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SpaceX executives are using this to keep the employees focused on pushing hard towards orbit. ~0% chance of an orbital launch attempt in July. The FAA has not even published the draft Environmental Assessment yet.https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1408481221592682500 …
Potential outcomes from ongoing FAA review... The 1st would be very bad for SpaceX. It would require an intensive review. The better options each require public comment periods, so even if the draft came out this afternoon, you would still have weeks of public comments.pic.twitter.com/kDeV07fYGK
And separately, the FAA still has to sign off on the final launch license, which cannot happen until the environmental reviews are complete. Not to mention, SpaceX still has a ways to go from a technical standpoint as well.
So will Super Heavy reach orbit in the next several months? Never bet against SpaceX. I think it will happen. But July 2021 is not realistic at this point. Today is June 25.
Details on ongoing FAA procss: https://www.faa.gov/space/stakeholder_engagement/spacex_starship/faqs/ …
What do you make of Elon’s tweet, do you think that the booster in the HB is the orbital one or not?
He cleary says it isnt.
Def gonna be right at the back end of the year at the earliest. Could def see a slip to 2022.
I think it could happen in august (assuming no FAA or raptor issues)
July 31, 11:59:59.999
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