Reality differs. Also the pandemic and the medical guidance in response to it should matter.https://mobile.twitter.com/RealJusticePAC/status/1384965663488450560 …
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Paul Retweeted Real Justice
Reality differs. Also the pandemic and the medical guidance in response to it should matter.https://mobile.twitter.com/RealJusticePAC/status/1384965663488450560 …
Paul added,
I'll stick with @SFPD statistics, thank you.
Paul Retweeted Dustin Moskovitz
Without normalizing them against a nationwide crime wave there is little relevance, but you could at least start with selecting the time period from when he took office rather than was elected.
#StandWithChesa because data says hes making our city safer.https://twitter.com/moskov/status/1400223655305515011 …
Paul added,
The city isn't safer. Of course one has to compare pre-Chesa w/post-Chesa, YTD 2021 vs 2019: Homicides +15.4% Burglary +21.9% Car Theft +33.5% Arson +56.3% https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1shF9HBKAyaxjCkFMbnpdr6ORZtFnWds-HW0AXGkDdd0/edit?usp=sharing … Shootings are up 105.2% YTD 2021 vs 2020.
If these stats hold, 2019, during height of sheltering, is not the trustworthy yardstick. It’s the yardstick of a recaller threatened by justice reform, police accountability, and protection of workers rights, to name a couple. Justice reform makes cities safer. #StandWithChesa
2019 was not shelter in place. So what these numbers say, for instance, is that homicides are up this year (2021) from the least year without Chesa (2019), year-to-date. You could also compare the full year 2020 (also Chesa) with 2019 - the numbers would be just as bad.
My mistake re 2019, but again these fluctuations have occurred throughout SF history. Factoring in police accountability re stats as well as violence, DA addresses causes at the root which prove to permanently decrease crime, if not immediately.
Hey, I'm not the one who said "restorative justice" is the bees knees. Progressives did. And for SF, comparing pre-Chesa with post-Chesa, the results are not good.
There is an abundance of information which shows restorative justice works. Here is one. https://www.d.umn.edu/~jmaahs/Correctional%20Assessment/rj_meta%20analysis.pdf …
Interesting, thanks, I will gladly check it out.
Paul Retweeted David Menschel
Please also consider that these decisions were made in light of the reality that they were the only viable alternative to the epidemiological disaster taking place elsewhere in the country.https://twitter.com/davidminpdx/status/1262788183877488640 …
Paul added,
Homicides in 2021 are lower than any year except 2019. That is a huge achievement. You are cherry picking to only compare to 2019. https://patch.com/img/cdn20/users/22880695/20191114/014855/styles/raw/public/processed_images/TrendinSFHomicides11.13.19.png …
They’re up a lot since Chesa took over.
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