2/4 -This is not the case. Indeed, if anything, our latest estimates suggest that the virus is slightly more transmissible than we previously thought. Our lethality estimates remain unchanged.
Show this thread
1/4 - I think it would be helpful if I cleared up some confusion that has emerged in recent days. Some have interpreted my evidence to a UK parliamentary committee as indicating we have substantially revised our assessments of the potential mortality impact of COVID-19.
-
-
-
3/4 - My evidence to Parliament referred to the deaths we assess might occur in the UK in the presence of the very intensive social distancing and other public health interventions now in place.
Show this thread -
4/4 - Without those controls, our assessment remains that the UK would see the scale of deaths reported in our study (namely, up to approximately 500 thousand).
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
@Twitter verify!! -
I hope you’re not questioning the veracity of
@neil_ferguson’s post? - Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Thank you for bringing some context. So much media extremism its so dangerous.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Thanks. The 500K figure had spooked quite a lot though I do think the paper clearly specified the rationale behind the thinking (lack of controls). Hope we do not reach the 20K figure though. Prayers and best wishes to all.
-
We sort of needed spooking.
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Get well soon
@neil_ferguson ! The world needs the insight of people like you right now. - Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.