Someone will write a dissertation about it someday.
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Educational and gender polarization coupled with restricting his explicit policy attacks on minorities to the most vulnerable subsets like migrants and asylum seekers.
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Plus him catching the tail end of a long economic recovery while a lot of discourse from many quarters was about how Democrats hadn't delivered on their promises, and that Trump was opposed by both Democrats and the old guard of Republicans (mostly this has been false)
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I think it's polling noise. We've heard the same rigamarole most election cycles, and Latino Decisions polls specifically focusing on Latino voters have been pretty clear that there's no gains in really any state (Biden actually even beating Clinton with Latinos in NV)
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re. Black voters: This is one day old. The margin in 2016 was 89-8, it's actually a 1% bump to Biden nationally, which I'd attribute to noise or less third party voting.pic.twitter.com/BAkdKYbFI3
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I think
@LeanTossup point out it's probably poor/difficult sampling. Like some of the polling says like Biden doing like single digits above Trump in Texas wheras Beto in '18 was wider? Something's up.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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neither Blacks nor Latinos (or any other group of humans) are a monolith there are right-wing nuts in every color of the rainbow this isn't really surprising, when you think about it
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of course! I'm not surprised Trump gets *any* support. I'm surprised the support has increased (if it has.)
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To some extent, I think it's a zero lower bound? Like, the numbers could hardly go down, so whatever random jittering moves people might push them up.
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haven't seen a lot of recent talk about it but I think the ados movement had an effect
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