In a way, we already have such markets. An obvious example for people who think catastrophe is 13 years away would be to short coastal real estate. There are many other such low hanging fruits.
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Is there a simple way to assemble the proper short? AFAICT prices of coastal real estate haven’t gone down at all.
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I think the problem is that most climate change deniers don't really believe what they are saying. They are just protecting their own self interests. I would be surprised if many put their money where their mouth is!
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I disagree. Given the certainty on the other side, they would be given tempting odds.
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It already exists. Parametric insurance.
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Not quite what I had in mind. Those look like custom contracts around one-off events. A market would offer much deeper liquidity, participation, and contract types.
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“Don't tell me what you think, show me your portfolio.” - Taleb
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That’s it right there.
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Can we not bet on insurance industry stocks?
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Too many confounding factors. Interestingly, the major reinsurers (GenRe, MunichRe) haven’t really budged over climate change predictions.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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