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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Founder, EIC @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek. Not a virologist.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 13 Sep 2017

      Dems flipped two very pro-Trump districts in special elections last night, There was a 28-point swing to Dems in NH. A 31-point swing in OK.pic.twitter.com/7nJuzpSjdf

      300 replies 5,512 retweets 13,877 likes
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      Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 13 Sep 2017

      So based on evidence from PEOPLE ACTUALLY VOTING, Trump hasn't been "Teflon" and GOP problems might be bit *worse* than polls let on.

      7:04 AM - 13 Sep 2017
      • 1,025 Retweets
      • 3,409 Likes
      • TJ Craig Gary “Get Vaxxed” Phillips Janet Benton TiGGyZTweetZ 🆘🗽💙🇺🇸💙🗽🆘 kennedy🌊🐶🐘💙🌍🐾🐻🐒🐯🌊 Maureen 🦊 Sheri Fitzgerald Pam wilson Cuong
      73 replies 1,025 retweets 3,409 likes
        1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 13 Sep 2017

          There's data on special election results here. In general they've been producing fairly big swings to Democrats -->https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1C2MVeM2K7WgqmJw5RCQbWyTo2u73CX1pI8zw_G-7BJo/edit#gid=0 …

          26 replies 562 retweets 1,498 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Shawn Ryder‏ @ShawnGRyder 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          Where was the headline from?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. blue slime‏ @oh_jeez_oh_man 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @ShawnGRyder @NateSilver538

          Looks like Politico, from the font.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Marc Criley makes up words‏ @That_MarcC 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          Maybe we're getting "Oh f*ck, I'll vote Democrat this time. How bad could it be?"

          1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
        3. Nick Felker, the man of La Mancha‏ @HandNF 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @That_MarcC @NateSilver538

          Wouldn't be unlikely. Parties typically go through cycles of success depending on the executive branch.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Twitati ➐  ⭐️‏ @TwiTati 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          Template to dems: Work quietly, don't bring national attn to races. You win. Big commotion with big money, you lose.

          2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
        3. Hyza‏ @Hyza87 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @TwiTati @NateSilver538

          Which, you know, is im Dems favor if 500+ races are at the same time.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Anderson Cooper's Stunt Double‏ @boinkofscience 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          Yeah, but Nate... That NARRATIVE though....

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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        1. Crookita‏ @crookita 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          Fucking THANK YOU.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Mr Snrub‏ @RallyDrum 13 Sep 2017
          Replying to @NateSilver538

          were those large vote swings expected before election day?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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