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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Verified account
@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 8 Aug 2019

    It's not that complicated, folks. Biden's gonna lose the nomination if and when Democrats become convinced that he can't beat Trump, or become convinced that someone else can. Otherwise he's likely to be pretty resilient.

    7:09 PM - 8 Aug 2019
    • 641 Retweets
    • 5,116 Likes
    • Jon Colverson DAP Kevin Stewart Brian Moritz Glen W. Spears Expand the SC! Richard L. Patterson GetOutDotishDonald Jan von Hausen
    651 replies 641 retweets 5,116 likes
      1. Sunny Jim‏ @sunnyjim4 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Geritol will do that.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
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      1. New conversation
      2. Alston Brown‏ @brown_alston 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        Alston Brown Retweeted Andrew Clark  🎃

        This is a real good way to convince voters of thathttps://twitter.com/andrewhclark/status/1159630998667239425?s=21 …

        Alston Brown added,

        0:22
        Andrew Clark  🎃Verified account @AndrewHClark
        Joe Biden slip-up in Iowa tonight. "Poor kids are just as bright and just as talented as white kids." Yikes...have fun mitigating that one. pic.twitter.com/m2VxZbnFHF
        7 replies 5 retweets 34 likes
      3. Brandon Russell‏ @brskier 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @brown_alston @NateSilver538

        Ouch

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Jordan Klein‏ @jordanhk92 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @DanielHofheinz @NateSilver538

        He’s been making gaffes his whole life. He’s a bad speaker who’s maybe gotten worse but he ain’t “losing it”

        4 replies 0 retweets 27 likes
      3. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Matt Wilt‏ @MattWilt803 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        pic.twitter.com/6fdmq1Of08

        8 replies 3 retweets 72 likes
      3. Eric McClung‏ @ericmcclung 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @MattWilt803 @NateSilver538

        Let's get Warren and Biden on the same debate stage already.

        5 replies 4 retweets 64 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. MCFried‏ @fried_mc 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        It's not complicated Nate....wait for the people to vote rather than make forecasts based on polling this far out.

        1 reply 2 retweets 8 likes
      3. Jorge Rivera Marín‏ @rbc12steps 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @fried_mc @NateSilver538

        That's not his job, nor how studying polling works. His whole point about Biden is that polling where he's at right now is predictive in the eventual outcome. And that prediction is actually several predictions, each based on probability. The most likely: Biden winning.

        2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. (((Asa Zernik)))‏ @AsaZernik 8 Aug 2019
        Replying to @kkpetersen @NateSilver538

        Polls are regularly asking about perceptions of electability; keep an eye out! (Though make sure to look at the numbers for only Democrats, a lot will also ask Republicans, who by large margins think none of the Dems are electable.)

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation

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