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NateSilver538's profile
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nate Silver
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@NateSilver538

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Nate SilverVerified account

@NateSilver538

Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV ). Sports/politics/food geek.

New York
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined August 2008

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    Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Feb 2019

    One year-ish ago, I thought Sanders was the frontrunner in a crowded Democratic field, but since then I've grown more pessimistic about his chances. I don't want to overcorrect too much though and think he still has a viable path.

    6:50 AM - 19 Feb 2019
    • 145 Retweets
    • 1,234 Likes
    • Ruben Seaton Brian Blank Barry Gott Terry Guzman Gabriel Guzman Rene Escobar kenneth Jillian 🧛‍♀️Vants BLOOD🎃 and a COLA ƊЄƁ for Biden/Harris
    258 replies 145 retweets 1,234 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Feb 2019

        IMO the viable path probably involves the field remaining relatively divided. In that scenario, his high and loyal floor of support, his $$$ (powered by small donors), his experience (may be only 2020 candidate to have run before) with delegate rules etc, could be big advantages.

        15 replies 38 retweets 356 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Feb 2019

        What I've grown pessimistic about is his ability to unite the different factions/coalitions of the Democratic Party. He doesn't seem that interested in doing so, and polling shows he's a tough sell for some Ds. That's how nominations are *usually* won, through coalition-building.

        155 replies 155 retweets 1,103 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Feb 2019

        In some ways, the question is: if Bernie just did what he does 4 years ago, will it work? The optimist's case would be pretty Occam's Razor-y: He was 2nd place last time—and the 1st-place candidate isn't running. And the party is moving to the left. So…why not?

        53 replies 31 retweets 399 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Feb 2019

        But there are a lot of things that are more difficult than 4 years ago, by far the most obvious of which is that there's *much* more competition, including specifically on the left. At 77, his age is a bigger concern. And there are fewer caucuses than in 2016.

        128 replies 56 retweets 683 likes
        Show this thread
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Chris Gulbraa‏ @ChrisGulbraa 19 Feb 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        I like him. But I think he’s just too old. Democrats probably want someone younger. I’m looking forward to the polls checking up on this though.

        8 replies 1 retweet 14 likes
      3. Penny Peters‏ @8Penny8 19 Feb 2019
        Replying to @ChrisGulbraa @NateSilver538

        He IS too old, but still better than the rest I think: https://www.currentaffairs.org/2019/02/there-is-still-only-one-clear-way-to-get-rid-of-trump …

        0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. ShV-Wear-a-Mask-And-Vote‏ @Sharon9177 19 Feb 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        NO! I'll give my money and support to someone else.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Harry Pujols‏ @harrypujols 19 Feb 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        He berned too many bridges.

        6 replies 4 retweets 205 likes
      3. Ceej-Opolis‏ @ceejopolis 19 Feb 2019
        Replying to @harrypujols @NateSilver538

        I see what you did there and I like it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Degenerate Django⌖‏ @SleepyDjango 19 Feb 2019
        Replying to @NateSilver538

        But hey pollster nerd what do the polls say

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Degenerate Django⌖‏ @SleepyDjango 19 Feb 2019
        Replying to @SleepyDjango

        pic.twitter.com/leqRnmsE0I

        2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
      4. Show replies

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