It's far more likely that the Russians were just throwing a bunch of shit at the wall and seeing what stuck and that basing it on Cambridge Analytica data wouldn't have been meaningfully more effective than doing it at random. https://twitter.com/TedGenoways/status/1074800258721476608 …
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For instance, this story makes a big deal about a (post-election) Russian social media disinformation campaign on Bob Mueller based on... 5,000 tweets? That's **nothing**. Platform-wide, there are something like 500,000,000 tweets posted each day. https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/business/technology/russian-disinformation-teams-targeted-robert-s-mueller-iii-says-report-prepared-for-senate/2018/12/17/0e0047f6-0230-11e9-8186-4ec26a485713_story.html?utm_term=.c8c3515a6838&__twitter_impression=true …pic.twitter.com/I2XOIf0rdy
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What fraction of overall social media impressions on the 2016 election were generated by Russian troll farms? 0.1%? I'm not sure what the answer is, but suspect it's low, and it says something that none of the reports that hype up the importance of them address that question.
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Same here. I still think people do not grasp how prolific it was. I felt like I was losing my mind watching it happen in real time.
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The scale of the difference between an R and a D vote in key states was quite small. In case you hadn't noticed.
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As far as effectiveness goes, don't send a statistical thinker to do a humanities and psychology job. This was about meaning and cognition and about how messages pass around in paratexts and affect people. You can't measure it using your usual instruments, so don't try.
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Pfft, interview 10 Republicans and 70-80% of them believe the nonsense and that nonsense was spread mostly by Russian missions on social media. Heck even a lot of Democrats. Comey caused the election loss but the Russian warfare made it close.
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But you gotta admit attributing a quote about masturbation to Jesus Christ that advises "we will beat it together" is some next-level comedy. I can't believe the Russians just got that lucky-- someone was meta-trolling.
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Bullsh1t. The propaganda was so pervasive, it became a substantial driver of the narratives of the campaign.
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In the end, the attempt is what matters.
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The attempt was the point, no particular outcome effect likely intended.https://twitter.com/aaronshem/status/1033075416536363009 …
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