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Naoko Aoki proslijedio/la je Tweet
The tensions among the United States, Japan, and South Korea work to North Korea's advantage.
@naokoaoki explains:https://bit.ly/313hctMHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Naoko Aoki proslijedio/la je Tweet
North Korea began 2020 by announcing it was no longer bound by the moratorium on nuclear and long-range missile tests. This is bad news for all countries in the region, says
@naokoaoki, but especially for Japan. Here's why:https://bit.ly/2RyBAzHHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Naoko Aoki proslijedio/la je Tweet
Without strong policy coordination between Japan, the United States and South Korea, North Korea could become emboldened in flight-testing missiles in Japan’s exclusive economic zone.
#KoreanPeninsula#Japan#NorthKorea#denuclearisation https://buff.ly/2vqhYFv@naokoaokipic.twitter.com/1DgoNg5vNs
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North Korea's shift to a hardline approach is good for none in the region, but particularly unwelcome for Japan. In my piece in
@east_asia_forum, I argue that Japan's best shot at dealing with North Korea remains coordination with U.S. and South Korea.https://www.eastasiaforum.org/2020/01/25/japans-north-korea-challenge-in-2020/ …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Naoko Aoki proslijedio/la je Tweet
While all eyes are on Iran, China trade deal, impeachment... The Treasury Dept. blacklisted two companies today (one from Beijing, one from Pyongyang) for violating North Korea sanctions. My latest here, with comment from
@naokoaoki and@ChrisVanHollen:https://www.nknews.org/2020/01/us-treasury-blacklists-two-companies-for-violating-north-korean-worker-sanctions/ …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Naoko Aoki proslijedio/la je Tweet
"Kim Jong-un is preparing the public for a prolonged confrontation with the United States ... lowering expectations for the lifting of sanctions and preparing the public for economic hardships ahead." —
@naokoaokihttps://youtu.be/7ocQUlXjA4A?t=15 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Obviously not everything is about
#NorthKorea, but I think the country is following the US-Iran situation and that what makes the recent US attack striking to it is that the strike aimed at leadership decapitation. I spoke with@jakefromer about this.https://www.nknews.org/2020/01/as-u-s-iran-conflict-grows-north-koreas-denuclearization-odds-may-shrink/ …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
North Korea announced a policy shift that emphasizes strategic weapons development and self-reliance on the economic front, given the likelihood of a prolonged standoff with the U.S. My comments at
@NewsHour, with gratitude for the opportunityhttps://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/kim-jong-uns-major-strategy-shift-on-north-korean-weapons-and-economy …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
The leaders of China, Japan and South Korea will meet this week as the North Korean threat looms. I spoke with
@NAR about the symbolic importance of this meeting. I also think the Japan-South Korea summit on the sidelines is important for region.https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/North-Korean-threat-looms-over-trilateral-summit-in-China …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Tensions with
#NorthKorea are about to increase, but we don't quite know yet by how much. North Korean provocations may involve an ICBM test, or something less. I talked to@IsabelRTokyo about the possibilities.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-13/why-the-next-north-korea-crisis-may-bring-less-fire-less-fury …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Naoko Aoki proslijedio/la je Tweet
Meanwhile, in Pyongyang: "idiot," "villain," "dwarf," an “under-wit” Just some of the insults a top NK official had for Japan PM Abe after he said NK's last missile test violated sanctions. My story here; comments from
@nktpnd@SungYoonLee1@naokoaokihttps://www.nknews.org/2019/11/dprk-official-lashes-out-at-idiot-and-villain-abe-over-missile-comments-kcna …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Naoko Aoki proslijedio/la je Tweet
VERY excited about this! A fantastic lineup of speakers will be joining us in Bloomington next Friday to discuss
#US-Japan relations. Part of our effort to turn@hamiltonlugar into a Midwestern hub for contemporary Japan social science and policy studies! Open to the public!https://twitter.com/21JPSI_IU/status/1190248371975524353 …
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Will the US and
#NorthKorea resume working level talks later this month? I am reupping my piece in@TheNatlInterest from July that talks about some of the challenges US negotiators face.https://twitter.com/naokoaoki/status/1150885562418679809 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
I talked to
@adamwithnall about how the political rift between Japan and South Korea is spreading into the military and economic arenas, benefitting North Korea, China and Russia.https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/japan-south-korea-intelligence-deal-north-nuclear-weapons-peace-shinzo-abe-a9076271.html …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
This suggests a pressure campaign against North Korea needs to more carefully consider how it would interact with North Korean policy priorities. Pressure should be applied only to pursue specific achievable goals and should be frequently assessed for its impact.
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Pressure may also have compelled North Korea to declare that its “state nuclear force” was complete before being fully confident that it could hit the U.S. mainland, although that depends on whether it was aiming for an operational ICBM capability.
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But what about the military threats and economic sanctions that targeted North Korea in 2017? They may have encouraged the country to speed up its effort to develop the capacity to strike the U.S. with a nuclear-armed missile, the opposite of its intended effect.
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Why did North Korea shift from confrontation to diplomacy in 2018? In my piece
@CISSM, I conclude that North Korea’s security calculus best explains the change.#NorthKorea wanted to achieve its security goals first and followed through with its plan.https://cissm.umd.edu/research-impact/publications/north-koreas-shift-diplomacy-2018-result-us-pressure-or-north-korean …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Both sides have to be empowered by their leaders to negotiate, which has not been the case so far. I hope the working level talks resume soon, and I don't mean to be pessimistic, but this is not going to be easy.
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On the one hand, North Koreans' willingness to negotiate may have a time limit because of the 2020 US presidential elections. On the other hand, the task of negotiating a denuclearization deal is more complicated than it has ever been before.
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