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Peter Brent
@mumbletwits
I like elections. Don't you remember they called me Al? PhD - Pol Sci - ANU
Canberrainsidestory.org.au/authors/peter-…Joined February 2010

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Also the most likely Coalition position is some kind of free vote, so Senators like Andrew Bragg can support it.
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Replying to @jamesmassola @PatsKarvelas and @BernardKeane
Except the referendum could only be delayed by the Senate. After 3 months the legislation can be put again, and if the Senate stills blocks it, a referendum can be held without Senate passage. Failing to pass would mean the Coalition opposes as well, bad news for a referendum.
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It was notable that Biden did not repeat the f-word (fascist, fascism.) He also suggested that the majority of Republicans are not aligned with MAGA, which contradicts most polling. Both of these moves make sense in trying to bring more ex/current Republicans into the fold.
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Everyone please thank Dee for sharing this with the class.
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Hey @Qantas my child just received a text saying he may not be able to get on tomorrows flight so needs to click in on Link to choose another flight. But I’m on the same flight with him. I’m assuming you’re not going to separate us as we both need to be on that flight together ?
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"In the largest electorate of the Northern Territory [Lingiari] ... almost 35 per cent of people didn't vote." Much worse than that. Taking into account enrolment, it's around 47-50%. Formal votes certainly <50% of eligible Strayans.
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It is quite special.
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i'm not exaggerating, this article is legitimately the most unintelligible piece of writing i've ever seen in a mainstream publication. I encourage you to try make way your way through it: archive.ph/F4DO8
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Bob Hawke in opposition 1980-83: ~’if we can’t, from govt, convince the electorate to accept a wealth tax, we might as well give the game away’. Hawke in govt 1983-91: 🦗🦗🦗🦗 #hawkeandkeatung
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Anthony is understandably scared of the backlash, opinion poll hit, declining approval ratings, end of honeymoon a broken tax cut promise would produce. But these are gonna happen at some point innit. Maybe Anthony should stop being such a Kevin!
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A week ago, we published an editorial on The Independent by a Hindu woman on the bigotry (against Muslims) she was increasingly see around her. After it was published, she immediately received threats and became worried for herself & family. We took the article down. Thread 👇🏽
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For folks determined to transpose Vic portion of 2022 federal election results onto state contest (as with byelection swings, it's repeatedly shown to be totally, utterly pointless).. recall fed Labor's 2010 Vic result was, like, huge, its best since the great depression.
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Getting in responses lots of Reasons for the 2010 swing that apparently won't apply this time. I agree a L/NP win is unlikely, but it's sure gonna be a lot closer than current polling has it. (And of course teals will be veddy interesting.)
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George had terrible political instincts, but main points here kind of sound. -Oppose 43%? No brainer, split the opposition otherwise. Equivocate on Voice? Same Not attend jobs summit? What George says. China? Whatever, a non-point. Dutts probably won't be PM? You bet!
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Opinion: Dutton may never be PM but, so far, he’s hardly put a foot wrong | George Brandis smh.com.au/politics/feder
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Let's see .... Nov 2007, Labor takes office federally. The next Vic election is in November 2010. July-August 2010: Newspoll has Brumby govt ahead 55-45. Election day L/NP wins 51.6 to 48.4. :-( Will it at least substantially narrow in Victoria? You bet you are you bet I am
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Several things going on here.🤔
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Tony Abbott slams Daniel Andrews for running the worst government in modern history | Herald Sun news.com.au/national/victo
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What if Crikey decides to use the defo action as a shameless publicity and subscription booster, what would happen then ?
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Most likely federal opposition leader at next election gotta be Sussssan Ley. Might a global recession do the rest?
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