Michael TraceyVerified account

Rural voters propelled Trump to victory. How often do you see rural interests represented in national media? Almost never. Not a coincidence

If the "North Country" part of New York were its own state, Trump would've won by something like 10%. Obama won resoundingly there in 2012.

@mtracey even though Cumo pretends to be a centrist it isn't a stretch to say that @RobAstorino would win a re-match.

@mtracey your reporting is generally great. Beware the law of small numbers: High variance will always come in the small data.

@mtracey swings that big across thousands of counties would certainly be real, though.

@ben_mathes The trends in rural counties are consistent across the northeast and midwest.

@mtracey that looks like 12% to me

@things_health try learning how to do math

@mtracey 40.8 to 52.1 would be 11.3