Plot twist: what if the real "dumpster fire" was actually Harry all along @ForecasterEntenpic.twitter.com/C3zS8mvYEa
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Again, this isn't about embarrassing Harry. I actually like him. It's about demanding that people take responsibility. @ForecasterEnten
By the way, in August 2015 @ForecasterEnten gave Trump a -10% chance of winning the GOP nomination. http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ …pic.twitter.com/QRpy3lkNGI
So to be clear, Harry gave Trump *less than zero percent chance" of winning the nomination. Trump led polls at the time. @ForecasterEnten
Harry's "one job" at @FiveThirtyEight is to make accurate predictions about political events. @ForecasterEnten
Running up to the election 538 warned more than anyone else I saw ab. Trump being within margin for polling error.
Pundits should consider the reality that they're depressing turnout when they act like one side already won
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