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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 2 Nov 2016
    • Report Tweet

    As of November 1, 2016, the LA Times / USC poll predicts with 95% certainty that Trump will win the popular votepic.twitter.com/stEOSMpadU

    3:00 AM - 2 Nov 2016
    • 798 Retweets
    • 935 Likes
    • Jeremy Lykins Michael Mark Schultz EDMATIK 4-TRUMP My Infogmholland Beveridge JoshCEO Ice Dan Darlak
    58 replies 798 retweets 935 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 2 Nov 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @bmotes

        Um, yes. That is what the LA Times poll says. Go look for yourself.

        1 reply 1 retweet 17 likes
      3. 1 more reply
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      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 2 Nov 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @filmigirl

        Some of us tried to warn them...

        3 replies 3 retweets 24 likes
      3. This Tweet is unavailable.
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      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 2 Nov 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @bmotes

        Whatever you want to tell yourself.

        3 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
      3. Alan Smithee‏ @ActualFlatticus 2 Nov 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey @bmotes

        Oh, I guess he's too young and non-white to manage a poll. God damned NYT.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 2 Nov 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @bmotes

        Same poll perfectly predicted the popular vote margin in 2012

        2 replies 6 retweets 17 likes
      3. - ̗̀𝔃𝓭𝓻 ̖́-‏ @zendeathrobot 2 Nov 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey @bmotes

        the tracking poll didn't exist in 2012

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Cathy Young‏Verified account @CathyYoung63 2 Nov 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Hasn't it always been a major outlier because of different methodology? Of course it could be everyone else is wrong...

        3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 2 Nov 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @CathyYoung63

        Yes, it uses atypical methodology but has mostly tracked with other polls. Nailed popular vote margin in 2012.

        2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
      4. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Alan Smithee‏ @ActualFlatticus 2 Nov 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        If this poll turns out to be correct shit is gonna get weird for a few years.

        2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
      3. This Tweet is unavailable.
      1. Mishka-1‏ @Mishka__1 2 Nov 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @bmotes @mtracey

        how about you offer substantive criticisms of the USC Dornsife/LA Times polling methodology instead of personal attacks

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Seth N Amondo‏ @Seth_Sesu 2 Nov 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey

        @C_NyaKundiH continue dreaming! u will be woefully disappointed. What a disgrace even just that thought is!#NeverTrump

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. Alan Smithee‏ @ActualFlatticus 2 Nov 2016
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        Replying to @bmotes @mtracey

        Assuming for the sake of argument he is "skewing" the poll, that would mean all weighting is incorrect.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Alan Smithee‏ @ActualFlatticus 2 Nov 2016
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        Replying to @bmotes @mtracey

        Except that each of those is a characteristic easily dismissed by idiots.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Alan Smithee‏ @ActualFlatticus 2 Nov 2016
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        Replying to @bmotes @mtracey

        Choose a young black man to serve as the example of one given too much credit? I don't buy it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Steve Latimer‏ @stevelatimer 2 Nov 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey

        @SpecialKMB1969 @JoeSquawk @andrewrsorkin @JohnJHarwood This poll picked Obama accurately last time.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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