If Trump is within the margin of error, as this poll and many others indicate, my sense is that he's slightly ahead http://ow.ly/tEyf304xibw
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Replying to @mtracey
My bet is that if Trump is down by 3-4 in polls average on 10/15, he wins.
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Replying to @MUGGER1955
If he's within 2, it's a safe bet.
5:12 AM - 25 Sep 2016
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