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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 18 Sep 2016
    • Report Tweet

    Trump at his highest point ever in today's LA Times poll; still trending up, HRC trending down. http://cesrusc.org/election/ 

    8:38 AM - 18 Sep 2016
    • 217 Retweets
    • 266 Likes
    • Senpai 3:16 🇺🇸 🚁 Dr. Insight Jim Laura McNamara Deplorable Avg Amer Alan Smithee Nikita Tracy Gonzalez Traveller
    21 replies 217 retweets 266 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 18 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Same qualifiers as ever apply to the much-discussed LAT/USC poll: atypical methodology, etc. But again, they nailed the popular vote in 2012

        3 replies 12 retweets 46 likes
      3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 18 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        LAT/USC has a consistent Trump "bias" relative to the overall polling mean, but so far it's been predictive of broader trends/shifts.

        5 replies 20 retweets 39 likes
      4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 18 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Pronounced fluctuations as depicted in the LAT poll are expected due to "volatility" of the race: many "undecideds" and/or 3rd party voters

        0 replies 12 retweets 26 likes
      5. End of conversation
      1. Sam Adams ~ #IStandWithIlhan‏ @CapaTosta122 18 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Boy, if there was only some1 in the race who could easily crush him...some sort of social/environmental revolutionary w/mass appeal

        0 replies 5 retweets 8 likes
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      1. Bayou Bobby‏ @bayou_bobby 18 Sep 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey

        @1Birdie4Sanders best pick up the red phone and call @BernieSanders pronto

        0 replies 5 retweets 10 likes
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      1. Tony Westpy  🦄‏ @tdarkhorse4 18 Sep 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey @JordanChariton

        which is exactly what Bernie voters feared, and the DNC said they knew what was best.

        0 replies 3 retweets 5 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. a big dumb idiot‏ @Surreal_Cynic 18 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        never a good idea to see any one poll as indicative of anything. Always best to take an average or median

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. 5 more replies
      1. Mr. Frible‏ @reasor43991 18 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @kallllisti

        . @kallllisti @deathrep @mtracey Comes to mind regarding her #'s https://youtu.be/1lWJXDG2i0A  what if the conspiracy was to ensure trump got in?

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. JarekFA‏ @JarekFA 18 Sep 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Holy shit.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. marse10‏ @marse10 18 Sep 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey

        The LA Times poll is such an outlier that it's either a) the only one with an accurate sample or b) designed by a 3rd grade intern

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 18 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @marse10 @mtracey

        there is an inherited bias based on participants enrolled but the way it's designed removes almost all noise

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Dr. Anomie ن‏ @PlenumTriune 18 Sep 2016
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        Replying to @mtracey

        Holy moly. Granted, we've got 6+ more weeks to go, but... still

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 18 Sep 2016
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        Replying to @shaker0309

        no. his overall avg hasn't changed much. @mtracey @JordanChariton

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. Downriver‏ @Downriver5 18 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        looks like you are doing a good job pushing Trump. congrats, your racist pal Ron Paul would be proud

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. a big dumb idiot‏ @Surreal_Cynic 18 Sep 2016
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        not according to any reputable polling aggregator or election forecast

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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