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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet

      You know when Nate Silver starts to urge panic: panic is upon ushttp://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-democrats-should-panic-if-the-polls-still-look-like-this-in-a-week/?ex_cid=2016-forecast …

      36 replies 218 retweets 262 likes
    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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      Replying to @mtracey

      My sense: if Trump is within a "margin of error" in the overall polling average (so ~±2) he's likely favored. If HRC is +3-5: she's favored

      12 replies 18 retweets 41 likes
    3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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      Replying to @mtracey

      Trump has room to grow: his "base" is locked in, now must court Bush-style GOP types. HRC's "base" is weakening: youth, progressives, blacks

      19 replies 68 retweets 73 likes
    4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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      Replying to @mtracey

      So: Trump has potential to expand his coalition. Modest inroads among minorities would help, say. HRC's coalition appears to be shrinking.

      9 replies 30 retweets 44 likes
      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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      Dem fallacy has always been to assume that Obama's coalition would transfer neatly over to HRC: no reason to believe this. Youth dislike her

      8:28 AM - 17 Sep 2016
      • 98 Retweets
      • 186 Likes
      • virtù Andy Yosha Squeaks 🌹 Ichabod Craig FundingRENJ William Michaels joe coder Sanford 2020🎃 R O
      14 replies 98 retweets 186 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          What new demographics does HRC bring into Obama's coalition? Maybe slight additions among older women. Other than that, she atrophies it.

          9 replies 46 retweets 91 likes
        3. enigmaticmuse808‏ @sparklenaloha 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          neocon fans.

          0 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Fox Terrorism  🇵🇸xpert‏ @CultofNewMedia 17 Sep 2016
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey

          only public glimpses of Clinton humanity r through leaks & anonymous sources; she alienates voters bc she projects inauthenticity

          1 reply 1 retweet 8 likes
        3. Mike Flugennock‏ @flugennock 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @CultofNewMedia @mtracey

          …and that whole "obliterating Iran" thing didn't help either, or that whole "superpredators" bit.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
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        2. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          which is why I question polls showing her 20, 30 point margins with millennials. I think poll methodology is causing outliers

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Median Politics‏ @MedianPolitics 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @librab103 @mtracey

          Median Politics Retweeted Median Politics

          https://twitter.com/MedianPolitics/status/777222164151808000 …

          Median Politics added,

          Median Politics @MedianPolitics
          TRUMP is up +28 points in Arkansas - Bill & Hillary Clinton's home state. Here's why. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pZXs58M6ww8 …
          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. Chris‏ @politics_chris 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          working class hates her too!

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Bill Holt‏ @4billholt 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          years from now people will remember the youth tsunami behind Sanders and will be in disbelief that Clinton was ever the nominee

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Hannibal Barca‏ @LearnedCitizen 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          they also dislike Trump, perhaps even more.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. d@r6y‏ @DarbyKathleen 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          d@r6y Retweeted The Upshot

          She also isn't doing as well with blacks & Hispanics.https://twitter.com/UpshotNYT/status/776839369864929280 …

          d@r6y added,

          The UpshotVerified account @UpshotNYT
          Why black and Hispanic voters aren’t helping Hillary Clinton more in the polls. http://nyti.ms/2cC0tq3 
          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Sheriff‏ @sheriff317 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          everyone dislikes her - I live in the bluest of the blue areas and I've seen 2 signs supporting her in the last 6 months

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Admiral General‏ @Ahurastan 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          like the plague

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. virtù‏ @VirtuArete 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Yup, we don't like her.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. melaniewpb 🇺🇸‏ @sellsewpb 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          @Bernie4People. And independents and the republican base. #NeverHillary

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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