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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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      You know when Nate Silver starts to urge panic: panic is upon ushttp://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-democrats-should-panic-if-the-polls-still-look-like-this-in-a-week/?ex_cid=2016-forecast …

      36 replies 218 retweets 262 likes
    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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      Replying to @mtracey

      My sense: if Trump is within a "margin of error" in the overall polling average (so ~±2) he's likely favored. If HRC is +3-5: she's favored

      12 replies 18 retweets 41 likes
      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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      Trump has room to grow: his "base" is locked in, now must court Bush-style GOP types. HRC's "base" is weakening: youth, progressives, blacks

      8:23 AM - 17 Sep 2016
      • 68 Retweets
      • 73 Likes
      • Tommy Dave Ravicher Stephanie Hall All Aboard The Coltrane 🌹 Solomon Ninma🌹 ⏳towhee⏳#Tulsi2020 #Bernie2020 #Unity4J ⏳ HelloOpinionHere 𝓜𝓪𝓻® 🇺🇸🇨🇺🇮🇱
      19 replies 68 retweets 73 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          So: Trump has potential to expand his coalition. Modest inroads among minorities would help, say. HRC's coalition appears to be shrinking.

          9 replies 30 retweets 44 likes
        3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Dem fallacy has always been to assume that Obama's coalition would transfer neatly over to HRC: no reason to believe this. Youth dislike her

          14 replies 98 retweets 186 likes
        4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          What new demographics does HRC bring into Obama's coalition? Maybe slight additions among older women. Other than that, she atrophies it.

          9 replies 46 retweets 91 likes
        5. 1 more reply
        1. Rio Slade‏ @RioSlade 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Clinton is trying to grow her base.pic.twitter.com/N1DnRTo9PG

          0 replies 5 retweets 4 likes
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        1. Stacey‏ @USMexSpain 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          @7im Women and college educated white ppl. She's doing far better than Obama with both. Also, a week of polls is not enough data

          0 replies 2 retweets 3 likes
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        1. Chris‏ @politics_chris 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          @realdonaldtrump is just at 78% of GOP voters (2012), #crookedhillary at 92 of Dems. He still has much to grow.

          0 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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        1. wine maven‏ @TowsonWine 18 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          @DonaldJRooseve1 He may "have" room to grow but has made no attempt and little progress . The numbers just don't work

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Mike‏ @nauernotmauer 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          And not blow it in the debates

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Michael Openshaw‏ @mopenshaw 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey @instapundit

          Constitutional Conservatives are ALSO a MAJOR part of the GOP he's missing; but he'd have to act less like a Democrat.

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        1. Admiral General‏ @Ahurastan 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Trump's plan has been to eliminate: 1) Bushes, 2) Clintons, & 3) Necons; he doesn't need Bush republicans. Total fallacy.

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        1. Michael A Goddard‏ @michaelagodd247 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          very very true. She needs my GENERATION to win, which is MILLENNIAL generation. All people i talk to arent voting

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Billy Glad‏ @GladBilly 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey @Zeteticus

          Sorry. Didn't quite catch that. Who did you say Trump's base is?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Syntax Error  🇺🇸‏ @SyntaxError1871 17 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Young people do not want to vote for that witch.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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