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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
    • Report Tweet

    You know when Nate Silver starts to urge panic: panic is upon ushttp://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-democrats-should-panic-if-the-polls-still-look-like-this-in-a-week/?ex_cid=2016-forecast …

    8:16 AM - 17 Sep 2016
    • 218 Retweets
    • 262 Likes
    • Donna Maertz Mommieisdatruth xyhastings #Residue Tammy Kosiancic 🌹 Coni in the garden freako'politic☭ 🐼Jane Danjor🐼 samantha clayton
    36 replies 218 retweets 262 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        My sense: if Trump is within a "margin of error" in the overall polling average (so ~±2) he's likely favored. If HRC is +3-5: she's favored

        12 replies 18 retweets 41 likes
      3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Trump has room to grow: his "base" is locked in, now must court Bush-style GOP types. HRC's "base" is weakening: youth, progressives, blacks

        19 replies 68 retweets 73 likes
      4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        So: Trump has potential to expand his coalition. Modest inroads among minorities would help, say. HRC's coalition appears to be shrinking.

        9 replies 30 retweets 44 likes
      5. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        Dem fallacy has always been to assume that Obama's coalition would transfer neatly over to HRC: no reason to believe this. Youth dislike her

        14 replies 98 retweets 186 likes
      6. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        What new demographics does HRC bring into Obama's coalition? Maybe slight additions among older women. Other than that, she atrophies it.

        9 replies 46 retweets 91 likes
      7. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet

        Yeah, she doesn't add any additional demographics to the Obama coalition. Maybe slightly among older women?

        1 reply 2 retweets 13 likes
      3. 3 more replies
      1. Jim De Giorgi Morrissey ☭‏ @heimaeyus 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        poor @NateSilver538 he wants Hillary to win so bad he lost integrity in the spring with his extreme bias. Now look... SMDH

        0 replies 5 retweets 13 likes
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      1. Dick Pic‏ @Kootice 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        "only after falsely accusing Clinton of having started the 'birther' rumors." Guess Nate isn't following you #sidblumenthal

        0 replies 2 retweets 6 likes
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      1. hobbitj‏ @hobbitj 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey @ARTSYJUDITH

        popcorn - check. Bottle of wine - check. Front row seat - check. Panicked Dems -- KARMA.pic.twitter.com/fSAx60dGdF

        0 replies 3 retweets 4 likes
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      2. Tommy Weir‏ @TommyW 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey @jcenters

        And quite a shift in tone from a post @NateSilver538 made just 7 hours prior to that.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-lead-is-clear-and-steady/ …

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
      3. Josh Centers‏ @jcenters 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @TommyW @mtracey

        More like Nate Bronze.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. 1 more reply
      1. CNN is VERY FakeNews ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️‏ @BringitBeyach 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        .@mtracey Dems brought this ALL on themselves! I have ZERO sympathy for the #CorruptClintonCartel FUCK EM! Bring on the orange orangutan!

        0 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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      1. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @EoinHiggins_ @mtracey

        her current EV lead is based on hypothetical polling. If Demos are not there she has no real EV advantage.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. G is for guillotine‏ @LetThemEatGMOs 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        @FiveThirtyEight *Establishment dems should panic.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. NiN Jah  🐼‏ @NiNJah__ 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        when u add to the "bad weekend" #DNCLeak, #Guccifer2 and more @wikileaks ...HRC is a colossal fuckstorm ...

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Donald Hutchins‏ @dj74hutch 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        @djwoolverton @NateSilver538 panic? The smarter dems knew if u put Hillary on ballot she might lose. Bernie beat trump by a mile

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Kylie‏ @cryptokiely 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        @FiveThirtyEight Nate Bronze is probably shitting himself. He's on the Clinton payroll for sure. We'll find his name in wikileaks.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. closed‏ @1socialmisfit 17 Sep 2016
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @mtracey

        @AJDelgado13 @FiveThirtyEight bust out the paddles!! 😄

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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