This metric indicates the incumbent party (Dems) is likely to lose. Plausible: generic GOP always favored this yearhttp://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/unlocking-the-election/ …
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They want it both ways. It's a 'parlor game' based on 13 'fundamental analytical keys' which have predictive value.
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I basically agree that voters make choices based on fundamentals. I just dislike saying you have a model when you don't.
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