It's really curious that Nevada is this close. (Monmouth the best pollster of the cycle...)pic.twitter.com/6hdDeBYHYe
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In NV since July, according to Monmouth: Trump has gained +5% with nonwhite voters; HRC is down -2% among Dems; HRC is down -3% among women
you are assuming the same voter turnout in 2012 as in 2016. 2016 is an outlier year. We cannot compare it to other elections
Yes, good reason to assume this is true.
Clinton is ahead in CO. I do not see any polls where Trump leads there. NV is more of a tie than leans either way!
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/results/president/exit-polls?state=nv … White voter pop is dropping while hispanic is increasing.
Not to mention again 3rd parties eating into Trump and Clinton numbers; more Clinton than Trump!
You should probably think a little harder on that one...
Check out page 3 and 6 http://www.monmouth.edu/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=40802210959 …
also could have been enthusiasm.
She will dominate Hispanics and blacks but with less turnout than Obama. She will win NV, CO. Trump's path is PA, WI, MI, IA, VA
http://apne.ws/2bGu4ya Apparently Trump's messaging resonates in Nevada. He's been very close there in pretty much every poll
Lots of bureaucrats in Clark County though will keep it close.Good is Trump has friends from biz dealings who can help
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