NV is 27% Hispanic. Either the methodology is off, or Trump is not as catastrophically unpopular with Hispanics as conventionally assumed.
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In 2012, Obama outperformed polls by around 4% in NV + CO: likely due to Hispanic undersampling. So I think HRC still ahead in both states.
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In NV since July, according to Monmouth: Trump has gained +5% with nonwhite voters; HRC is down -2% among Dems; HRC is down -3% among women
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Polls skewed Dem in 2014.
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General election electorate composition is so different, analogy doesn't really hold. And Hickenlooper (D) won in 2014.
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Yeah, I don't assume they'll repeat the same mistakes. There's just always an unforeseen skewing effect. NV is hard to poll.
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Why is Monmouth the best?
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Most accurate during primaries.
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Or is it simply a distraction to keep us from acknowledging neither one is worth voting for.pic.twitter.com/vcVuhz8TdR
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even after
#HarryReid played games with the primary in that stateThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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She doesn't need Nevada (or FL for that matter) to win. Areas like PA are more worrisome.
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Just because you picked up the phone doesn't mean you will stand in line!
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Not really. Minority turnout was reason for Obama lean. Very few gentry liberals. Very working class; many skipped 2012; like Trump
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Also, older whites have been showing a massive GOP registration trend in Nevada since 2008. Visual: Clint Eastwood fans.
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Dems treated the Bernie Dems horribly in Nevada, consequences?
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LANDSLIDE
@realDonaldTrumpThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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