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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 14 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet

      New polling seems to suggest 1) Polarization is kicking in, meaning disaffected GOPers rallying to Trump 2) HRC favorability keeps cratering

      10 replies 68 retweets 117 likes
      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 14 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet

      Also, third party support is now waning, especially for Johnson. Effect of that is debatable: I'd argue it's a slight advantage for Trump

      10:17 AM - 14 Sep 2016
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      • Hyerez alicia 305FanAllDay Deplorable Joe Pepe Carlos R. González William Zelin Scott Gee - 🇺🇸♥️🐉 Laura Winkler THIRD RATE
      10 replies 17 retweets 41 likes
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        2. Jonathan "Boo and Vote" Cohn‏ @JonathanCohn 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Johnson support falling probably related to GOPers coming home.

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @JonathanCohn

          Partly that. And the Dems supporting Johnson staying with him. Presence of Johnson hurts HRC more than Trump.

          1 reply 3 retweets 7 likes
        4. 4 more replies
        1. Lynching Danielle Delecto‏ @NewYearsDani 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          The Ohio poll w/Trump +5 shows strength even w/third party candidates factored in. Remains +5.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          3rd party support has pretty much been the same the last month.https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1A2TTbokRLma6w7UrzylKT2uhd7SUZpLIKsorLH87Gp8/edit?usp=sharing …

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Let the People Decide!‏ @n_the_mountains 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I would agree that most Johnson supporters will vote for Trump if they decide to not vote for Johnson.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Fabius Maximus (Ed.)‏ @FabiusMaximus01 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          RealClearPolitcs poll tracker shows Johnson & Stein support is stable. HRC-Trump gap closing fast. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html …

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Pierre Derelicto‏ @noonanville 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          If you combine with point 1, I'd agree. Many of those Johnson supporters were likely disaffected GOP.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Slashed Tire Owl Dr.‏ @theowldoctor 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          Now remember, @TheDemocrats wanted Trump as their preferred H2H candidate against Clinton. Remember: They were ROOTING for him.

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        1. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          This clear if you look at pollsters that do more than 1 poll a month.

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        1. Matthew Battle‏ @librab103 14 Sep 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey

          I believe the rise and fall we see with Trump and Clinton come more from undecideds voters than they do from 3rd party support

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