New polling seems to suggest 1) Polarization is kicking in, meaning disaffected GOPers rallying to Trump 2) HRC favorability keeps cratering
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Johnson support falling probably related to GOPers coming home.
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Partly that. And the Dems supporting Johnson staying with him. Presence of Johnson hurts HRC more than Trump.
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The Ohio poll w/Trump +5 shows strength even w/third party candidates factored in. Remains +5.
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3rd party support has pretty much been the same the last month.https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1A2TTbokRLma6w7UrzylKT2uhd7SUZpLIKsorLH87Gp8/edit?usp=sharing …
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I would agree that most Johnson supporters will vote for Trump if they decide to not vote for Johnson.
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RealClearPolitcs poll tracker shows Johnson & Stein support is stable. HRC-Trump gap closing fast. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html …
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If you combine with point 1, I'd agree. Many of those Johnson supporters were likely disaffected GOP.
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Now remember,
@TheDemocrats wanted Trump as their preferred H2H candidate against Clinton. Remember: They were ROOTING for him.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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This clear if you look at pollsters that do more than 1 poll a month.
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I believe the rise and fall we see with Trump and Clinton come more from undecideds voters than they do from 3rd party support
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