One indicator of dampened enthusiasm: HRC's favorability rating is declining, especially among the young and self-described "liberals"
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Replying to @mtracey
Another (broad, imprecise, debatable, non-predictive) indicator: relative to 2008, few are openly displaying HRC fandom by way of signage.
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Replying to @mtracey
no kidding - we saw virtually none in a summer of driving around the northeast
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Replying to @DougHenwood
HRC partisans get enraged when you note this and insist it means absolutely nothing
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Replying to @mtracey
I live in Clinton Hill, Ft Greene & Bed-Stuy bounding me. Almost *no* HRC signage at all. There were plenty of Bernie signs though
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Replying to @DougHenwood @mtracey
But that's exactly why I'm skeptical of Michael's conclusions. Sanders won signage enthusiasm but Clinton won vote
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I wouldn't build a predictive model out of it. But it is a sign of a lack of enthusiasm - for both candidates really.
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Replying to @DougHenwood @HeerJeet
I didn't draw any conclusions. I can make observations without therefore being tethered to some predictive conclusion
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Replying to @mtracey @DougHenwood
Well, you're not making predictive conclusion but you are saying its a sign of lack of enthusiasm.
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I don't think it's controversial that the universe of passionate Hillary supporters is limited.
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It was uncontroversial to state that the proliferation of Obama signage in 2008 was an indicator of enthusiasm.
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But you said it was also demonstrative that Obama '08 voter enthusiasm >> HRC 16, but data contradicts that.
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Replying to @reedfrich @mtracey and
So setting aside prediction/non-prediction, how do your square your observation ≠ available poll data?
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End of conversation
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