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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. This Tweet is unavailable.
    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 5 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @allanbrauer

      I guess the Obama 2008 signage that appeared all over the country in 2008 was totally meaningless and should have been ignored.

      6 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
    3. Reed F. Richardson‏ @reedfrich 5 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @mtracey @allanbrauer

      Probably. Studies find yard signs boost = ~1%, but matter most in local, low-name-rec. elxns. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379415002310 …

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 5 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @reedfrich @allanbrauer

      It's broadly and imperfectly indicative of voter enthusiasm, volunteerism potential, and related metrics.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Reed F. Richardson‏ @reedfrich 5 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @mtracey @allanbrauer

      But even the inputs are anecdotal & unreliable—relies on memories of past elections & unscientific measure of volume…

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Reed F. Richardson‏ @reedfrich 5 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @reedfrich @mtracey @allanbrauer

      IOW, vague yard sign observations are exactly the kind of unrigorous analysis we take elite media pundits to task for.

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    7. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 5 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @reedfrich @allanbrauer

      It's a fleeting observation based on the accounts of 100s of people. It's not meant to be predictive of the outcome.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Reed F. Richardson‏ @reedfrich 5 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @mtracey @allanbrauer

      If you want to measure voter enthusiasm, better to ask them directly. http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-08-10/bloomberg-politics-national-poll …pic.twitter.com/a0hvohN85y

      1 reply 1 retweet 8 likes
      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 5 Sep 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @reedfrich @allanbrauer

      The idea that it's somehow wrong or awful to make a simple observation is so silly.

      10:40 AM - 5 Sep 2016
      • 2 Likes
      • ⭐⭐ ⭐ The Adversary! ⭐⭐⭐ but doctor,
      3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
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        2. Reed F. Richardson‏ @reedfrich 5 Sep 2016
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @allanbrauer

          I agree, but I didn't imply a purported lack of yard signs meant "something" bigger about HRC voter enthusiasm…

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Reed F. Richardson‏ @reedfrich 5 Sep 2016
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @reedfrich @mtracey @allanbrauer

          when there is more rigorous data (polls) suggesting the contrary.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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