Michael Tracey
LAT/USC poll is now at its highest sample size ever (n: 2576) and still shows Trump with an outlier-ish lead (+3.4%) http://cesrusc.org/election/
In the Brexit leadup, polls using atypical methodology tended to place Leave higher than the more conventional pollshttps://medium.com/@mtracey/volatility-and-why-trumps-odds-of-victory-are-higher-than-popularly-assumed-950acf00c3de#.b1nrg4kc4 …
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Yes, I know: grain of salt, blah blah blah, yadda yadda yadda. It's just something to bear in mind.
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@mtracey and at the end of the day leave won by 3.8 points.
Matthew Battle
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