This one goes out to @HeerJeet and @LPDonovan
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so is your theory that the polls will close as undecided/others come home, or just that there's a systemic blind spot?
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I can't pretend that I understand exactly what Taleb is saying here
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I'm not well-versed enough in probability/statistics to weigh in on whether what he's saying has credence
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btw did the forecast ever show trump up? Believe it was the nowcast, which is just polls
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yeah it was the nowcast
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Another factor: Voters who don't want to say they're voting for Trump but will do so. 2-3%
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Michael is a smart guy. Thinks for himself.
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Passion that Bernie ignited still glows in
#BernersFortRump: tRump is the lesser evil & maybe our only tool against#ElectionFraudThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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"overall turnout is likely to be sapped among that group" and others. Low low turnout might be a factor.
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I can only hope. The Clintons have had a good, sound ass-paddling coming to them for nigh on 25 years.
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I've actually thought this myself. He prob won't win but will do better than expected. It doesn't feel as neat & tidy as it appears
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Presuming, of course, that The Donald doesn't come to harm while visiting that nation he so grievously and gratuitously insulted.
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Agreed on many points. Plus she is running just like remain Tories: we are inevitable. But is likely rigged as hell, so...
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@NationalismRise
@Medium now u get it: Volatile vs slow burn past a Hillary on life support Who had. Who always had the momentum?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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