Michael TraceyVerified account

This one goes out to @HeerJeet and @LPDonovan

@mtracey @HeerJeet so is your theory that the polls will close as undecided/others come home, or just that there's a systemic blind spot?

@mtraceyhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/762033852982460421 …

@narenbalaji @mtracey Problem with this argument is that we know *why* 538's forecast swung that much. It wasn't random.

@rohitguptahpf @narenbalaji I can't pretend that I understand exactly what Taleb is saying here

@mtracey @narenbalaji He is basically saying that the model swung wildly from 55% to 20%, so its essentially meaningless.

@mtracey Another factor: Voters who don't want to say they're voting for Trump but will do so. 2-3%

@JustinRaimondo @mtracey Michael is a smart guy. Thinks for himself.

@Mistertbones @mtracey If he didn't have a beard I'd have a crush on him.

@mtracey Presuming, of course, that The Donald doesn't come to harm while visiting that nation he so grievously and gratuitously insulted.

@IWPCHI @mtracey how did he "insult" a nation by telling the facts. 80% of girls are raped WHILE crossing the border.