That the race swung so dramatically to Trump then back to HRC indicates a level of volatility which should belie any firm belief re: outcome
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In 2012 the first debate ended up having an outsized impact, interrupting otherwise stable race. So there is potential for big fluctuations.
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and the next wikileaks havent come out
End of conversation
New conversation -
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Even Silver admitted that w/ poll volatility, huge number of undecideds, it looks more like an election from the 80s, 90s, not '12
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