Reputable tracking polls -- USC/LAT, UPI -- show Trump/HRC roughly tied, just as convention "bounces" tapering. "Collapse" talk premature.
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Replying to @mtracey
Pundits are so hopelessly immersed in the daily outrage cycle that they miss the long view: Trump within striking distance three months out
26 replies 59 retweets 93 likes -
Replying to @mtracey
Keep an eye on the LAT poll. Uses unorthodox methodology, producing outlier results, but that means it also avoids the "clustering" effect.
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Replying to @mtracey
Polls with unorthodox methodology -- online, etc. -- consistently showed Brexit outperforming traditional polls. Food for thought.
5 replies 8 retweets 34 likes -
Replying to @mtracey
Brexit was ahead in the polls until a week or so before voting day. Brexit =\= Trump.
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
Replying to @Shaun_Gains @ShaunGains
I never claimed Brexit "equals" Trump
7:56 AM - 3 Aug 2016
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