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mtracey's profile
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Michael Tracey
Verified account
@mtracey

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Michael TraceyVerified account

@mtracey

Roving journalist, friend to all dogs mtracey@protonmail.com

NYC
patreon.com/mtracey
Joined March 2009

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    1. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 1 Aug 2016
      • Report Tweet

      Single biggest, if counterintuitive, problem for GOP right now- it's too successful. Too big of footprint. Too much to lose.

      8 replies 5 retweets 23 likes
    2. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 1 Aug 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @LPDonovan

      If this were 2008 (or '08 division of power), it would be much easier for R leaders and electeds to reject or run away from Trump/Trumpism.

      1 reply 2 retweets 11 likes
    3. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 1 Aug 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @LPDonovan

      It's hard to throw away a Senate majority out of principle. It's painful to put the House in play. Much easier to ride out the next 100 days

      7 replies 7 retweets 20 likes
    4. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 1 Aug 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @LPDonovan

      And with all eyes on 2020, the decisions not based on congressional fortifications are mindful of the inevitable dolchstoss recriminations.

      1 reply 2 retweets 8 likes
    5. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 1 Aug 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @LPDonovan

      Throw in existential and enduring SCOTUS implications and you get the current paralysis. Can't reject him entirely, but can't say his name.

      4 replies 6 retweets 10 likes
    6. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 1 Aug 2016
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @LPDonovan

      For better or worse, permission structure to run against Trump is tied to polls. If/when his #s fall, suddenly people find their courage.

      7 replies 43 retweets 62 likes
    7. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 1 Aug 2016
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      Replying to @LPDonovan

      Right on cue, HRC seems to be back out to ~5pt lead as she was pre-Comey. If that continues into fall, anti-Trump branch looks sturdier.

      3 replies 3 retweets 10 likes
      Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 1 Aug 2016
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      Replying to @LPDonovan

      But that lead is also a transitory convention-inflected "bounce." My guess: will taper some by next week.

      2:26 PM - 1 Aug 2016
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. (((Erin)))‏ @ErinRehman 1 Aug 2016
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @mtracey @LPDonovan

          what this poll? This one Shows 9?pic.twitter.com/cZB8gF8WuQ

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 1 Aug 2016
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @ErinRehman @mtracey

          little bouncy- 5 seems safe for now. Watch the avgz

          2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        4. 2 more replies
        1. wazzucoug99‏ @wazzucoug99 4 Aug 2016
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          Replying to @mtracey @LPDonovan

          this is not bouncing back my god 3 swing state polls out today and trump down double digits in all 3

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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