Per poli sci modeling, economic indicators, and other metrics, generic GOP candidate was *always* favored this year. Crucial to bear in mind
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Replying to @mtracey
It's highly likely that even a polarizing ideologue like Cruz would have eventually polled roughly even with HRC, and perhaps surpassed.
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Replying to @mtracey
Democrats nominating an extraordinarily weak candidate made their position even more difficult relative to pre-existing structural obstacles
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Replying to @mtracey
Trump's obviously not a "generic" GOP in a lot of ways, but just by virtue of being nominee he'll get advantages that any candidate would.
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Replying to @mtracey
I cannot think of a prominent Dem who *wouldn't* have had better odds than HRC against Trump: Sanders, Warren, Biden... hell, even O'Malley
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Not necessarily that they would have beaten Trump, just that they'd have better odds than HRC
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