Trump's chance of winning as of today is 51.6% per @FiveThirtyEight. Romney's highest chance of winning at any point in 2012 campaign: 41.0%
538 did not have a proprietary model-based "if the election were held today" forecast in 2012?
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we did: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/ … but the now-cast is NOT a forecast for Nov. 8.
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I am aware
End of conversation
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