According to 538, as of today odds of a Trump win stand at 41.3% -- higher than the odds of a Romney win *at any point* in the 2012 campaign
-
-
Fair enough...I think their trend on Trump gaining steadily over the last weeks is probably correct.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Their general election forecasts are actual mathematical models; the 2% thing was a gut check.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.