538 has always said it's a proprietary model, taking into account numerous variables.
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From the guys who gave Trump 2% chance of winning nomination.
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Their general election forecasts are much more accurate.
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Debates are still everything.
#Hillary has never been on a stage w/ anyone willing to take off the gloves. What will it look like? - 2 more replies
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The idea is: to be "decidable", error on probability < error on exp. payoff
@philipbstark @ReekRend@PhillipsPasha@mtracey@johndurant
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@johndurant Such "odds" have little 2 do w probability. Made-up number from made-up model:#quantifauxcation But Trump could winThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@raypride Post-convention bump? -
Why can't liberals spell? It's Trump
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Will
#Hillary be able to get away with shrugging her shoulders and saying I don't know why bankers give me money?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@ryantkelly hoping to god that's convention bump and Hilary's pushing him back downThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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I remember Hillary taking Rick Lazio, was it, during NY Senate campaign. She will do the same to ignorant on the facts Trump.
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Depends on whether phenomenon is like a casino game. Sometimes yes; sometimes no but a good methaphor; sometimes not even that.
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He's Donald Trump?
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This Tweet is unavailable.
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And that doesn't even take into account the
#DNCLeaks which should be beyond devastating for Hillary.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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They are probably even higher than that now.
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Does this take into consideration
#DNCleaks or VP announcement? It almost seems as if they're intentionally alienating the left.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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