I hope people in Hillary's campaign read @willwilkinson's essay since it points to a genuine danger.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
Do I think Trump will win? No. But he'll campaign in way that will do massive damage to Clinton & to American democracy.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
earnest Q in pursuit of persuasive reassurance: why do you think Trump won't win?
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Replying to @JeffSharlet @HeerJeet
Fallacy here is assuming that the entirety of Obama's coalition will just transfer neatly over to HRC.
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Also: generic GOP was always favored this year after two consecutive, polarizing Dem terms. There's denial about that
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Replying to @mtracey @JeffSharlet
I think a generic GOP could beat HRC. But Trump will keep non-whites, single women, young, etc. in Dem camp.
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listen to Trumka & Steelworkers prez & u can practically hear the Obama coalition eroding. But very much hope yr right.
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Replying to @JeffSharlet @mtracey
Well other thing is to shore up GOP support Trump is backtracking on economic populism (on tax cuts, etc)
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Replying to @HeerJeet @JeffSharlet
He is keeping the same line re: no cuts to social security / Medicare
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Replying to @mtracey @JeffSharlet
Trump can't get anywhere without the donor class $$. He's moving in their direction.
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Bigger point: wise strategically to treat Trump *as if* he is the favorite, given better than expected odds.
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Replying to @mtracey @JeffSharlet
Oh, I absolutely agree Trump has to be taken seriously. He has the GOP behind him, which alone gives him a real shot.
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he's also not bound by the normal rules of decorum, so you don't know how to defend against him.
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End of conversation
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