you would EXPECT the crime rate to fall as you put more criminals behind bars.https://twitter.com/mtracey/status/729449408799084544 …
@panej0 My theory is that the crime rate has no necessary causal connection with the incarceration rate.
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@mtracey so your theory by extension says that if we arrested No criminals, that would have no affect on crime rate. -
@panej0 No, that's your extremely liberal extrapolation of what my theory implies. I am positing a narrow theory here. - 2 more replies
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@mtracey that, by definition, is what "no causal relationship" means.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@mtracey So then, we should be able to agree there is in fact a causal relationship, and the question becomes, what are the other gears? -
@panej0 I said no "necessary" causal relationship which means the incarceration rate may be driven by factors other than rates of crime. - 3 more replies
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@mtracey acknowledging the relationship does not mean we've optimized incarceration, or that we don't incarcerate too many.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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