Friendly reminder that Nate Silver gave Trump a 2% chance of winning the GOP nomination in August 2015
@DSternCardinale Nah, it was up to 20-25 by then. They always overrated Bush.
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@mtracey Was that August? I thought 1st debate gave him the bump, which was...yeah that was 1st week of August. I withdraw my objection. -
@DSternCardinale Trump's lead in national polling began in early July!
End of conversation
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