Recurring problem with pundits: they constantly allow personal preferences to cloud analytical judgments. Thus the underestimation of Cruz.
@bartona104 Yep. Cruz had built up a sturdy lead over months/years that was unamenable to polling fluctuations.
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@mtracey But winning IA doesn't mean winning R nomination, pretty consistently. -
@bartona104 Usually not. Till it does. Predictive value of past contests also constantly overrated. Incredibly small sample size. - 1 more reply
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